
The street-smart psephologists
Namvar Singh a well-known Hindi writer was a friend of my father,8221; says Jaiprakash Singh Poi. The owner of a pushtaini hereditary tea-stall, which has been around for 8220;three generations8221; in Varanasi, Jaiprakash may be heating milk and waiting for the brew to thicken all day, but he takes time out to show us paper clippings and narrate how he fought the elections in 2004.
8220;But it is all about gunmen. I don8217;t have any. I just have a bagful of conversations I hear at the stall and the wisdom I gather, but that is not enough to win elections, I have realised,8221; he says.
Poi may have not got the votes, but on the road his stall would win hands down. It is one where the most voluble conversations, loud arguments and opinions are voiced and challenged each day, and especially at election time.
The phrase 8220;adda8221; and its accompanying culture is something the Bengalis might want to patent. But UP can proudly with some competition from Bihar lay claim to it as well. If you fling a Banarasi patta, it is almost certain to land on a psephologist or at least a political analyst. Outsiders can come to this state with as much contempt for caste-based politics as they want, but UPites would patiently welcome all outsiders and draw them into their own worlds, equations, voter swings and projections8212;often more reliable than the complex equations that flash on TV screens.
In the capital Lucknow, the legendary Indian Coffee House has seen many debates, often over tasteless cups of coffee. Especially in the decades when it was UP where most of the prime ministers and home ministers came from. Located in the heart of Hazratganj, the Coffee House has seen many men while away evenings, arguing and debating with the conviction that as voters they have the power to change the future of India.
But far away from the capital, in small bazaars, villages or towns with just a few thousand people, there is still that live wire sensation you get as you try and strike up a conversation. Once the fact that you are a 8220;press reporter8221; is established, even in the dry heat of a late afternoon, the crowd slowly swells, each person giving his take on the definitive truth about UP and what would happen and yet never revealing who they would vote for. They try and play the independent observer, eager to help you understand their land.
Waiting with a group of proud old Congressmen for their ummedwaarji candidate opposite a masjid in Ghazipur8217;s main market, the conversation strays into realism much more frequently that you would expect it to. The supporters speak of the distance that had crept in between them and the party leadership over years. But they add, 8220;Ab hum hain naa, yahan hain, Rahulji bhi aayenge yahan shaayad 28 ko, aur tab bahut fark padega But we are here now. Rahulji will probably come here on April 28 and then things will be different.8221;
8216;Addas8217; are places to look for wisdom. Says Mahendra, an aggressive BJP backer whom we met at a chai stall, about his party; 8220;Bhavnaatmank sawaalon ka jab rajnitik jawaab dhoondha jaata hai, then there will be problems. Now that very approach is creating problems for the party I support. They are suddenly wishy-washy about upper castes after creating initial expectations of being committed to them and Hindus.8221;
In UP, the electorate8217;s relationship with politics is different from that in other parts of the country. None of the dry and boring cynicism of the posh metro colonies can be witnessed here. It is refined, sophisticated and an astute response to the moment of reckoning every five years.
Perhaps in its tea stalls, where the tea can often taste stronger than vodka shots, its barber saloons, and paan ki dukaans, an otherwise unempowered or impoverished Indian feels important, sought after, and able to make a difference.
Radhey Shyam, his wife and three children run the Radhey Shyam tea stall that was set up in 1996. A chana seller Ravi Shanker Mishra was there on a hot afternoon and theorised all about the Congress8217;s strategy of 8220;keeping India poor, but happy.8221;
Mishra is a regular at the tea stall when not selling chana. He also told us his big secret8212;that he has studied only till Class VIII and that he buys paper from the scrap dealer in kilos for making pudiyas for the chana. 8216;8216;But you know, I read magazines and cut out some articles. That is how I hope to help my children later.8221;
Amartya Sen8217;s Argumentative and Articulate Indian is hard at work in UP8217;s addas, and brewing not just theories, but in his own way, plotting for a better tomorrow. Said another quick-wit we encountered, 8220;We don8217;t have power at all during the day. It just comes from 10 pm till the morning. Those in government think that by not giving us power electricity, we would be troubled and turn into nikammas good for nothings. But you see, all of us come out of our homes as the heat is unbearable, and end up talking to each other for hours8212;maybe something good will come out of just that talking.8221;
Empowerment here can mean at least a million different things.