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This is an archive article published on April 23, 2012

Prove Basu wrong

Chief economic advisor has few months in office,govt has two years to bring reforms on track

Chief economic advisor has few months in office,govt has two years to bring reforms on track

That India’s growth juggernaut is sputtering is a no-brainer. But chief economic advisor Kaushik Basu’s view that the world can forget about major reforms in India over the next 24 months is a sad commentary from someone within the ranks. Especially,from someone so bright — and capable of such elegant prose — who was a key member of the team that delivered a retrograde budget that’s spooked investors. And forced corporate India to clutch at straws that will help change the perception of an economy gripped by policy paralysis. The prime minister’s office is putting its weight behind industry to resolve coal availability issues; Reserve Bank of India has slashed key policy rates by a more-than-expected 50 basis points to improve business sentiment; the empowered committee of state finance ministers,too,has agreed to an April 1,2013 deadline to put in place the Goods and Services Tax legislation. Just around this time,Basu’s remarks at a Carnegie Endowment for International Peace meeting that big-ticket reforms are best forgotten in India till the next general elections in 2014 only serve to reinforce an impression that the government may have lost the appetite to persist with its initiatives.

While he sought to “clarify” — unconvincingly — his statements a day later,Basu confirmed most stakeholders’ concerns. The list of reforms that need a strong political push,or rather,a shove,are far too many. GST rollout will take more than a year. The Direct Tax Code will not be in place before the next financial year. There are as many as 68 amendment bills awaiting parliamentary approval.

It’s a shame that the opposition is agreeable to certain bills but members of the ruling party have reservations against them. Even on the non-legislative front,the Congress-led government’s track record is dismal. It has been unable to get allies on board on issues such as foreign direct investment in multi-brand retail. Worse,its own ministers are not on the same page on allowing 26 per cent FDI in defence. To top it all,the government has opened a new front by proposing retrospective amendments to tax laws. It’s high time ministers learn to talk to the opposition,allies and their own colleagues in good faith. When you don’t have the requisite numbers in Parliament,a modicum of humility will not do any harm. The chief economic advisor has some great ideas on managing the political economy but he is only an advisor. He is left with just a few months in office but the government has two years to prove him wrong.

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