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This is an archive article published on January 17, 2023

J P Nadda to steer BJP to 2024 LS polls but first, southern test awaits

During the BJP president’s tenure, the party has seen the highs of electoral triumphs and the lows of losing some key allies and the defeat in Himachal Pradesh. Now, the big challenge is to retain Karnataka and emerge as the main Opposition in Telangana.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi with BJP national president J P Nadda during the party's national executive meeting, at NDMC Convention Centre in New Delhi. (Express photo by Amit Mehra)Prime Minister Narendra Modi with BJP national president J P Nadda during the party's national executive meeting, at NDMC Convention Centre in New Delhi. (Express photo by Amit Mehra)
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J P Nadda to steer BJP to 2024 LS polls but first, southern test awaits
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With his term unanimously extended till June 2024 on Monday, BJP national president J P Nadda’s biggest challenge in the coming months will be extending the winning streak to the southern states.

Nadda, who officially took charge of the BJP on January 20, 2020, just before the pandemic struck, is set to be at the helm as the party faces a tough electoral battle in Karnataka, the only south Indian state where it has won so far. After Karnataka, the BJP will face another tough test in Telangana where it is trying to emerge as an alternative force, having already made some significant gains in local elections and bypolls. Sources in the party admitted that Telangana and retaining power in Karnataka would prove to be a tough task. The party faces nine Assembly elections this year, with the finale being the 2024 Lok Sabha polls.

Announcing the BJP national executive’s decision to unanimously extend Nadda’s term, Union Home Minister Amit Shah on Tuesday said the 62-year-old had “transformed the charismatic leadership of Prime Minister Narendra Modi into a mandate for the BJP”. Shah claimed that the BJP “is the most democratic party” in India, with organisational elections usually taking place from booths to the national level. But, because of a membership campaign and due to the Covid-19 pandemic, the election process got delayed. “So, the national executive took up the matter. Rajnath Singh ji has moved the resolution and the national executive endorsed it unanimously,” Shah said.

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Nadda took over as the BJP’s working president after Amit Shah was elevated to the Union Cabinet following the 2019 general elections. He officially became the party’s national president on January 20, 2020, and, as the pandemic started, he launched the “Sewa hi Sangathan” programme during the national lockdown. As part of the initiative, party workers were deployed for relief work and ration was distributed for free to people affected by the pandemic. “Nadda ji has connected the BJP with the concept of service with vibrancy,” said Shah, underlining the veteran leader’s contributions.

The BJP’s electoral juggernaut continued to roll during Nadda’s tenure, with successes in several states. In 2019, the BJP became the single-largest party in Haryana, where it was ruling with a clear majority, and formed the government in alliance with the Jannayak Janta Party. The following year, the party won 74 seats in Bihar, where it contested the polls in alliance with the Janata Dal (United) of Nitish Kumar. Shah said the BJP achieved its “highest strike rate” in Bihar under Nadda. After the pandemic came the victories in Assam, Uttar Pradesh, Manipur, Uttarakhand, and Gujarat.

But, the JD(U) walked out of the alliance last August and realigned with the Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD). The BJP similarly lost the Shiv Sena, one of its oldest allies, in November 2019 after the Uddhav Thackeray-led party joined hands with the Nationalist Congress Party (NCP) and the Congress to form the government in Maharashtra. The BJP managed to hit back last October after a split in the Shiv Sena, with its tacit support, and the subsequent political realignment brought it back to power.

Another long-term ally that the BJP lost during the soft-spoken Nadda’s tenure is the Shiromani Akali Dal (SAD), leaving the perception that the party cannot take along its allies.

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However, the biggest blow to the Nadda presidency was the BJP’s loss in the Himachal Pradesh Assembly polls last December. Despite his efforts, Nadda could not contain an internal rebellion in the party in his home state. Most of the dissidents blamed the BJP president for their unhappiness. But the landslide win in Gujarat and the narrow margin of the defeat in the hill state — the difference in the vote share of the Congress and the BJP was less than one per cent — cushioned the intensity of the blow.

Addressing the media on Tuesday outside the NDMC Convention Hall, Shah lauded Nadda’s “tireless work” behind the growth of the BJP as an organisation and strengthening its booth-level structure. Over the past year, the party extended its outreach initiatives to 1.3 lakh booths where it considered itself as weak. It has grown as the strongest force in the North East. Apart from Assam, it is in power in Tripura and Manipur and is part of the ruling coalition in Meghalaya and Nagaland.

“Under him, the BJP will get a stronger mandate in 2024 and Modi ji will be the prime minister again,” Shah said. The responsibility lies on Nadda’s shoulders.

Have been in journalism covering national politics for 23 years. Have covered six consecutive Lok Sabha elections and assembly polls in almost all the states. Currently writes on ruling BJP. Always loves to understand what's cooking in the national politics (And ventures into the act only in kitchen at home).  ... Read More

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