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This is an archive article published on August 20, 2011

Kabul queries

Yet another strike raises questions about the competence of Afghan security.

Fridays attack on the British Council compound in Kabul strengthens the doubts that began to be voiced as the US began its phased pull-out from Afghanistan last month. Those doubts find expression in a single question: are Afghan security forces competent enough and capable of defending themselves,let alone their country? Fridays attack was three-phased a suicide bomber detonated his explosive-laden vest near an intersection guarded by the police; a little later,a suicide car bomber blew up his vehicle opposite the British Council gate,destroying a wall; finally,gunmen poured in through that breached wall and engaged in an hours-long gunbattle. The casualties,apart from the militants,were mostly Afghan policemen.

Not only is the Taliban repeatedly demonstrating its ability to strike anywhere of its choosing but Hamid Karzais government is at its wits end dealing with the changed Taliban tactics for instance,

using rogue soldiers and policemen. A series of recent assassinations,most notably of Jan Mohammed Khan and Ahmed Wali Karzai in the same week last month,has announced that such attacks will no longer be sporadic and minor. While rogue security personnel expose how weak the recruitment filters are,the assassinations undermine Karzais government and rob it of key deal-makers,setting back the efforts at stabilising Afghanistan.

Natos withdrawal plans are hinged on weakening the Taliban enough so that Afghan forces can take over and also,perhaps,forcing the Taliban into talks. As the surge ebbs,Nato would gradually retreat from a tactical to a strategic overwatch. But for that,Karzais government has to deliver,primarily by demonstrating its ability to enforce stability. The political instrument necessary therein is patching together alliances with tribal groups,which in turn draws its strength from increasing security. On all counts,these attacks and assassinations set back the government and erase Natos gains.

 

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