
The Kelkar task force8217;s new report, which refreshes the old effort, seems to be ground-breaking, says Morgan Stanley, a top investment bank based in the US.
There are two specific suggestions that we think could form the basis for a new economic environment in India. 8216;8216;The task force report proposes a single national value-added tax on goods and services of 20, which will subsume all other taxes levied by states and the Centre including local levies such as Octroi. We think this could have a dramatic impact on indirect tax collections as it can plug leakages in the system,8217;8217; says Ridham Desai of Morgan Stanley.
The second recommendation is that withdrawals from small savings such as the public provident fund should be taxed as ordinary income even while continuing with tax incentives on contribution and accumulation of small savings. 8216;8216;This could result in a higher savings rate given the circular movement in small savings, ie, reinvestment of withdrawals, which compresses net savings,8217;8217; Desai says.
The first recommendation, if implemented could reduce the government8217;s revenue deficit over the medium term and combined with second proposal; could cause a rise in the savings rate. 8216;8216;This, in turn, could favourably impact growth and job creation,8217;8217; Morgan Stanley said.
If India achieves control on indebtedness and accelerates its growth, riskier assets are bound to do well. 8216;8216;Equities and property would likely deliver double-digit returns, whereas fixed income investments, hurt by the low starting point on interest rates, may be confined to mid-single-digit returns,8217;8217; Morgan Stanley said.