
Deputy Prime Minister L K Advani floated a trial balloon today proposing the idea of simultaneous Lok Sabha and Assembly elections all over the country. Emboldened by the absence of any strong negative reaction from other parties, the BJP appears set to push the idea to a logical conclusion.
Arguing that electoral pressure was a 8216;8216;serious handicap8217;8217; for good governance, Advani said that government was considering restoring 8216;8216;synchronicity of Lok Sabha and Assembly elections.8217;8217; His statement assumed greater significance with Assembly elections scheduled this year in four crucial states 8212; Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh and Delhi8212;all run by the Congress.
The government, he indicated, was keen to push through the decision in the coming polls itself, 8216;8216;either by rescheduling the poll time table or if necessary, by some amendment of the Constitution.8217;8217; Asked about the suitable time for holding elections, he said 8216;8216;first quarter of the year8217;8217; was a good time.
Advani8212;on his one-day trip to Pune to attend functions organised by a co-operative bank and an eye-hospital8212;said that although the idea was at a nascent stage, it had already been 8216;8216;informally8217;8217; discussed with the members of the Election Commission and also with one of NDA8217;s major allies 8212; the TDP. Their response had been positive.
Advani said that five years in government had made them 8216;8216;intensely conscious8217;8217; of the fact that the continuing election mode was a serious handicap for the ruling party. All the Election Commission needs is 45 days for the poll formalities.
8216;8216;Every important decision 8212; budget, any economic reform, LPG price hike 8212; is influenced by consideration of how a voter will react. During discussions, electoral considerations used to come up, whether they were elections in Punjab or in UP,8217;8217; Advani said. Besides governance, Advani8217;s formula also has a political angle. It is being seen as the latest BJP device to consolidate the National Democratic Alliance NDA and prevent an alternative Congress-led alliance from taking shape.
The NDA comprises the parties which have no clash of interests with the BJP. Once both Assembly and Lok Sabha elections are synchronised, the alliance partners would only come closer to one another. On the other hand, most potential allies of the Congress at the Centre compete with it in the states.
Simultaneous elections would force all anti-BJP parties to fight the Congress for the sake of their own survival. The Congress would be naturally forced to tread a lonely path.
The BJP is already in alliance with its key allies in the states: Shiv Sena Maharashtra, Samata Party Bihar, Biju Janata Dal Orissa, Trinamool Congress West Bengal and Akali Dal Punjab.
The party has had seat adjustments with some others like the Telugu Desam and the Indian National Lok Dal. Besides, the party shares power with the Bahujan Samaj Party in Uttar Pradesh, which is not a constituent of the NDA. Therefore, simultaneous elections would only make the BJP and its partners more dependent on one another.
The BJP state units are at odds with two NDA partners8212;DMK Tamil Nadu and INLD Haryana. However, the BJP has the luxury of a potential ally in the AIADMK to replace the DMK. The situation in Haryana is under control because the relations between central BJP leaders and INLD chief Om Prakash Chautala remain cordial.
The Congress can ideally look forward to alliances with the CPIM and its Left Front partners, Nationalist Congress Party NCP, RJD, Samajwadi Party, DMK and Muslim League.
However, ground realities would make the task rather impossible. The Congress competes with the Left Front for power in Kerala and Tripura. In West Bengal, the Congress draws its strength from what is essentially the anti-Left vote. Once the two formations come together, they would have to yield space to a third force in all three states.
Moreover, the Congress benefits from the bipolar polity in many states like Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, Chhattisgarh, Andhra Pradesh and Orissa. When Assembly elections are held separately, it8217;s local factors which come in to play. Sonia8217;s foreign-origin and deficiencies of leadership are not that key. Once, elections to the Lok Sabha take place along side, congress prospects would be influenced by these factors too.