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This is an archive article published on January 12, 2022

On Covid-19, Centre’s twin concerns: spreading reach, rising case count

🔴 The Centre also warned that there is "rampant and irrational use" of the anti-viral pill Molnupiravir, emphasising that efforts should be made to restrict its use as known and unknown harms far outweigh its claimed benefit.

Covid patients at Sehnai Banquet Hall at the Covid Care Center in New Delhi. ( Express photo by Abhinav Saha)Covid patients at Sehnai Banquet Hall at the Covid Care Center in New Delhi. ( Express photo by Abhinav Saha)

The Centre Wednesday said that while hospitalisation rate may be low at the current levels of the Omicron surge, the Covid-19 cases are spreading at a large scale, and flagged that in just one week, 300 districts have reported more than 5 per cent positivity rate, compared to just 78 districts in the previous week.

On Wednesday, the Union health ministry said that overall across the states, the country is witnessing a sharp surge in Covid-19 cases and that a twin concern is emerging in several pockets of the country: high case positivity, indicating an increase in the spread of infection, coupled with an increase in the total number of active cases.

Twin concern emerging in states across India

The health ministry said that there has been a progressive in districts reporting an increase in case positivity. In the week ending January 11, 300 districts have a case positivity more than 5 per cent compared to just 78 districts in the week ending January 4.

The head of India’s Covid-19 task force, Dr V K Paul, further flagged that positivity rates being reported in certain districts are “phenomenally high”. “The intensity of the pandemic has increased. It is quite clear from the data that it is being driven and powered by Omicron. It is rapidly replacing or has replaced the previous dominant Delta variant. Omicron has high transmissibility and growth rate…We are seeing phenomenally high test positivity rates,” Paul said.

Paul reiterated that Omicron is not common cold and it has the potential to overwhelm the health infrastructure in the country. “Understanding the disease from Indian experience… it may look like the hospitalisation rate is low. Maybe. But it is spreading at a large scale. If one is infected, the entire family gets infected. We cannot lower the vigil and preparedness. I endorse the statement of the WHO: Omicron is not a common cold. It is not a simple or ordinary infection. We cannot take this lightly,” Paul said.

“Also the current situation is like this because of the high vaccination rates… because vaccines provide protection against severe disease. So Omicron is not a common cold and because of it, many health systems have collapsed in a few countries. Many health workers have been forced to stay at home. There is more pressure. We have to slow the transmission,” Paul said.

The Centre Wednesday also warned that there is “rampant and irrational use” of the anti-viral pill Molnupiravir, emphasising that efforts should be made to restrict its use as known and unknown harms far outweigh its claimed benefit.

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On Wednesday, DG ICMR Dr Balram Bhargava spelled out the recommendations of the experts of the Covid-19 task force, highlighting that Molnupiravir — the first anti-viral drug granted emergency use authorisation (EUA) by the drug regulator — has certain risks that warrant caution in its use.

“We have had extensive debates and discussion among national experts… The final conclusion was that Molnupiravir has certain risks that warrant caution in its use. Number two, experts present at the meeting opined that there is a rampant and irrational use of Molnupiravir. Number three, efforts should be made to restrict its use as known and unknown harms far outweigh its claimed benefit,” Bhargava said.

“Number four, the currently available synthesised evidence was reviewed and the members unanimously agreed that it does not merit the inclusion of Molnupiravir in national treatment guidelines. The emerging evidence will be constantly reviewed,” Bhargava said.

Bhargava also said that there is no evidence of the benefit of the use of Molnupiravir in persons previously infected with Covid-19 or who were vaccinated. “Lastly, it was further highlighted that the current clinical window of an application appears extremely narrow for Molnupiravir with relevance only to the following: elderly, unvaccinated with other comorbidities. There is no evidence of benefit in diabetic patients, and those who were previously infected with Covid-19 or were vaccinated,” Bhargava said.

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Paul, during the briefing, also raised concerns of irrational consumptions of drugs for Covid-19 treatment. “There is a concern. Whichever medicines are being given (for Covid-19), there should be a rational approach in using them. They cannot be overused. In the last wave, we witnessed a scary situation where the overuse of drugs caused mucormycosis…There is a guilt that there was a overuse. Steroids are very potent and life-saving drugs, but they also have side effects. They disturb many bio-chemical pathways. We have learnt our lessons. We don’t want that situation to repeat,” Paul said.

“General public should be aware of these set of rational treatments… we have true concern over overuse and misuse of drugs. For mild symptoms, in case of fever, only paracetamol should be given. For cough, one can take cough syrup, warm water, and, gargle and only if the cough persists for more than five days, in selected cases, you can use budesonide. These are the only three things to be done… we would request our medical fraternity to follow the rational guidelines,” Paul said.

Kaunain Sheriff M is an award-winning investigative journalist and the National Health Editor at The Indian Express. He is the author of Johnson & Johnson Files: The Indian Secrets of a Global Giant, an investigation into one of the world’s most powerful pharmaceutical companies. With over a decade of experience, Kaunain brings deep expertise in three areas of investigative journalism: law, health, and data. He currently leads The Indian Express newsroom’s in-depth coverage of health. His work has earned some of the most prestigious honours in journalism, including the Ramnath Goenka Award for Excellence in Journalism, the Society of Publishers in Asia (SOPA) Award, and the Mumbai Press Club’s Red Ink Award. Kaunain has also collaborated on major global investigations. He was part of the Implant Files project with the International Consortium of Investigative Journalists (ICIJ), which exposed malpractices in the medical device industry across the world. He also contributed to an international investigation that uncovered how a Chinese big-data firm was monitoring thousands of prominent Indian individuals and institutions in real time. Over the years, he has reported on several high-profile criminal trials, including the Hashimpura massacre, the 2G spectrum scam, and the coal block allocation case. Within The Indian Express, he has been honoured three times with the Indian Express Excellence Award for his investigations—on the anti-Sikh riots, the Vyapam exam scam, and the abuse of the National Security Act in Uttar Pradesh. ... Read More

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