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This is an archive article published on August 13, 2012

Disaster math

IOCs record loss points to the worsening consequences of govts oil subsidy regime

IOCs record loss points to the worsening consequences of govts oil subsidy regime

When politicians easily equate lower crude prices with better margins for domestic oil marketing companies,they should be asked to check the quarterly results of the Indian Oil Corporation IOC. Indias largest state-run oil marketing company has seen its gross refining margin the difference between cost of and revenue earned for a barrel by a refinery turn negative at 4.8 per barrel in the April to June quarter. This was the period in which the price of crude went down by almost 16 per cent,and yet the company has run up its worst ever quarterly loss of Rs 22,450 crore. The reason is that it had bought crude at higher prices. When the prices went down,it was unable to sell the products abroad since its costs were high. Meanwhile,within India,for every litre of diesel and kerosene and every kilo of cooking gas that it sold,it made a loss. The inventory of 6.5 million barrels translated into a loss of Rs 4,062 crore.

There can be questions about the timing of buying crude and processing costs,but these are managerial calls that have to be taken keeping in mind the changes in the world oil market. There is another side to the story. In the same period,Reliance Industries managed to improve its gross refining margin since most of its products from its Jamnagar refinery are exported.

What has remained the same is the way the government makes conditions worse for public-sector oil marketing companies by keeping the oil subsidy regime intact. In two days,the three largest state-run companies have presented the government with an uncleared bill of Rs 32,765 crore for their under recovery. They ran up the losses by selling kerosene,LPG and diesel at prices set by the oil ministry. Since the government has set aside about Rs 30,000 crore for oil subsidy in this budget,which will be exhausted paying last years bill,it will be a long wait for these companies again. Meanwhile,the aggregate loss of the companies has reached Rs 40,540 crore in this quarter,a fourfold jump from previous year.

 

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