
The CIA and Pentagon would for the first time be required to assess the national security implications of climate change under proposed legislation intended to elevate global warming to a national defense issue.
The bipartisan proposal, which its sponsors expect to pass in the Congress with wide support, calls for the director of national intelligence to conduct the first-ever 8220;national intelligence estimate8221; on global warming. The effort would include pinpointing the regions at highest risk of humanitarian suffering and assessing the likelihood of wars erupting over diminishing water and other resources.
The measure would also order the Pentagon to undertake a series of war games to determine how global climate change could affect US security, including 8220;direct physical threats to the US posed by extreme weather events such as hurricanes.8221;
The growing attention to global warming as a national security issue could open new avenues of support for tougher efforts to limit greenhouse gases, according to specialists.
8220;If you get the intelligence community to apply some of its analytic capabilities to this issue, it could be compelling to whoever is sitting in the White House,8221; said Anne Harrington, director of the committee on international security at the National Academy of Sciences in Washington.
In 2003, two Pentagon analysts wrote a provocative report on the possible national security implications of an abrupt change in the climate, citing, among other outcomes, the prospect of nuclear powers struggling to feed their people and being forced to fight over shared rivers.
8220;With over 200 river basins touching multiple nations, we can expect conflict over access to water for drinking, irrigation, and transportation,8221; the analysts wrote.
8211;BRYAN BENDER