
As the number of cases of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome continued to climb on Tuesday, experts said there are three basic theories about the origin of the virus. Understanding where the microbe came from would aid health authorities in determining how to limit further spread.
The three emerging theories involve:
8226; A man-made virus
8226; An ancient animal virus that has mutated into a form capable of infecting humans
8226; An old human virus that went undetected until it had the opportunity to spread rapidly.
The notion of a man-made origin was initially played down by WHO officials and ruled out by US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention director Dr Julie Gerberding. But in an interview on Monday, Dr James Hughes, director of the CDC8217;s National Center for Infectious Diseases, when asked about those early dismissals, said: 8216;8216;We are keeping an open mind.8217;8217;
He went on to say: 8216;8216;It8217;s behaving like a naturally arising organism. I8217;ve not heard any information that this is anything but naturally acquired.8217;8217; Hughes noted that news reports out of Hong Kong indicated the first case there was a Chinese infectious diseases researcher who visited from Guangdong province 8212; an area suspected as the origin of the disease.
Again, five years ago, a man-made virus was created in Australia to kill wild rabbits. The virus leaked from the manufacturing laboratory and swept across Australia and New Zealand, killing millions of rabbits. More likely, experts say, is a natural zoonotic event. Zoonosis describes the movement of microbes from one species to another, such as from pigs to humans, experts said.
The other possibility is that the virus has been around for a long time, causing occasional infections and that some event in China facilitated a dramatic spread. LAT-WP