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This is an archive article published on September 14, 2008

A time to cheer

During the Falklands War, some of us in the Labour Party were objecting to a few violations of international law.

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During the Falklands War, some of us in the Labour Party were objecting to a few violations of international law. After the sinking of the Belgrano, when the assembled media started asking Margaret Thatcher questions, she stood on the steps of 10 Downing Street, and, said Rejoice! As always her political instinct was sound; people savoured the triumph and did not look at the quibbles.

I hope if and when the Lok Sabha meets, Dr Manmohan Singh will start his speech the same way. There is every reason to rejoice. The NSG agreement along with the IAEA approval is the biggest success of Indian foreign policy. Thanks to Shiv Shankar Menon, Shyam Saran, the unfairly maligned Ronen Sen, and of course the personal chemistry between George Bush and the PM, India has got away with murder. The very group set up to deny India any nuclear slack has now rolled over. When before has the US President got on the phone to the President of China to play for India? Remember how Lyndon Johnson and Richard Nixon humiliated Indira Gandhi. India paraded its moral arrogance and championed the useless Non-Aligned Movement full of unreliable dictators. The world ignored India. I know. I did not have to read the Indian Press all these years.

The delicious irony of all the fuss about Bush and Berman is that if the US Congress stalls the 123 Agreement, the NSG has freed India to do business with France and Russia or UK. Then the Americans would have done all the hard work and got no business out of it. Eyes are popping out at the 500 billion and that is possibly why the Congress will after all work overtime and do what their lobbyists want.

Now for the first time India is playing in the Masters Championship and playing without handicaps. It is not whining for the rules to be changed for it. But the Indian Opposition parties have a victim mentality. They are convinced that the world is out to get India even when scores of countries bent over backwards to be fair to India. They will look at every comma and semicolon, imagine ghosts and fairies and cry foul.

The CPI-M8217;s case is easy to understand. It doesn8217;t want any agreement with the US8212;even if the US were to apply to join the Indian Union. It would like an agreement with China even if India surrenders her sovereignty. That is fine since it is what is called a 8216;principled8217; position. But why is the BJP taking this peculiar position? Perhaps Atal Bihari Vajpayee is the only genuine statesman it has who can look beyond party advantage.

I have always held that this is a strategic defence deal. It is an option each side is buying for a remote possibility that they may need to exercise the option in case you-know-who turns nasty. The argument for energy supply is a dubious one. I know from my UK experience that nuclear energy cannot produce power at affordable prices and needs a massive subsidy, not to mention the cost of disposing of nuclear waste. The UK could not privatise its nuclear industry since no businessman could turn a profit from nuclear energy without subsidies. The argument that global warming justifies clean nuclear energy is only valid if the carbon price is a multiple of its current price.

No doubt foolish people will invest the 500 billion. The idea is that they will start lots of new facilities to produce nuclear energy. I wish them luck. They should be told that to start 20 or more new reactors requires lot of land and Ratan Tata can tell the eager investors that they don8217;t have a hope in hell of getting the land.

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The more I think about it the better it gets. A strategic guarantee, investors from around the world8212;not just the US8212;and delayed, perhaps never to arrive, nuclear-powered electricity. If you have any land Kalawati, hold out and wait for a better deal. If you don8217;t, stick to kerosene.

 

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