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While the reproductive value (R-value) of coronavirus has reached 1.3 in Punjab, the positivity rate remains 0.2 per cent holding out hope that a surge can still be prevented. R-value, which indicates how many persons one infected person can infect, is a cause of concern if it goes beyond 1.
Dr Rajesh Bhaskar, nodal officer for Covid-19 cases in Punjab, warned people against lowering their guard.
The Centre on Tuesday had said that while Covid-19 cases were “stabilising” across the country, the R value greater than 1, specifically from newer states, including Punjab, Himachal Pradesh and Uttar Pradesh, is a “significant reason to be concerned”. In Punjab, the daily cases are increasing.
Dr Bishav Mohan, professor of cardiology in DMCH and member Covid taskforce, said: “When the positivity rate is less than 1 and R-value is more than 1, it signifies that cases will not multiply that fast.
However, we have got an alert about R-value which should be taken as a signal and hence people should continue following Covid appropriate behaviour. Crisis is not imminent but it is a warning for all of us to act well in advance. Hence, people should avoid large gatherings, should continue wearing masks and follow all Covid-19 guidelines as earlier.”
Talking about the cases being reported from schools, Dr Mohan said, “Children cannot be made to sit in their houses for long, but yes, they need to be called in smaller groups. I am sure the government has given them some guidelines to follow. It is too early to say that the third wave can impact children. We all need to follow precautions.”
He added, “R-value, positivity rate and vaccination, case fatality rate (CFR) are the factors which need to be taken care of to control the situation.”
However, it needs to be mentioned that residents in Punjab are freely enjoying public gatherings. Functions like Teej festival, festivals in colleges, religious programmes are happening like normal and people are hardly seen wearing masks or following social distancing norms. In addition to this, even most schools are being conducted for 6 hours including lunch break within the schools.”
The state’s industrial capital, meanwhile, has been reporting cases in double-digits for the last two days after a gap of two months. Deputy Commissioner Varinder Kumar Sharma on Wednesday said that the surge in Ludhiana is worrying.
On August 10, 17 patients had tested positive in Ludhiana, while on August 11 this number was double at 34. Addressing the Ludhiana residents in his weekly Facebook live, the DC said that with cases reported from two city schools everyone needed to be cautious.
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