Opinion A bridge to the 21st century
Im no expert on American politics,but I do know something about holes. And watching the way the Republican Party is reacting to the passage of health...
Im no expert on American politics,but I do know something about holes. And watching the way the Republican Party is reacting to the passage of health care,it seems to me the G.O.P. is violating the first rule of holes: When youre in one,stop digging.
Yes,I know,the polls show that the G.O.P. is not being hurt by its just-say-no strategy. But there is no groundswell moving its way either. Republicans will have to come up with more than just-say-no-to-everything-except-lower-taxes-and-more-drilling to field a credible 2012 presidential candidate. Heres why:
If you step back far enough,you could argue that George W. Bush brought the Reagan Revolution with its emphasis on tax cuts,deregulation and government-as-the-problem-not-the-solution to its logical conclusion and then some. But with a soaring deficit and a banking crisis caused by an excess of deregulation,Reaganism has met its limit. Meanwhile,Obamas passage of health care reform has brought the New Deal-Franklin Roosevelt Revolution to its logical conclusion. There will be no more major entitlements for Americans. The bond market will make sure of that.
In other words,both major parties have now completed their primary 20th-century missions,first laid down by their iconic standard-bearers. The real question is which party is going to build Americas bridge to the 21st century one that will strengthen our ability to compete in the global economy,while practicing much more fiscal discipline.
Obama is at least trying to push an agenda for pursuing the American dream in these new circumstances. I dont agree with every policy Id like to see a lot more emphasis on innovation and small business startups but hes clearly trying. I do not get that impression from the Republicans,and especially those being led around by the Tea Partiers.
Obama-ism posits that we are now in a hypercompetitive global economy,where the country that thrives will be the one that brings together the most educated,creative and diverse work force with the best infrastructure bandwidth,ports,airports,high-speed rail and good governance. And were in a world with a warming climate that is growing from 6.8 billion people to 9.2 billion by 2050,so demand for clean energy is going to go through the roof. Therefore, E.T. energy technology is going to be the next great global industry.
So,government matters. It needs to be incentivising businesses to build their next factory in this country at a time when every other nation is throwing incentives their way; it needs to be recruiting highly skilled immigrants; it needs to be setting the highest national education standards and funding basic research; it needs to be laying down the right energy regulations that will stimulate more clean-tech companies.
One reason the G.O.P has failed to spawn an agenda for the 21st century is that globalisation has fragmented the party. Its Wall Street/multinational corporate wing understands we need immigration,free trade,clean-tech and government support for better infrastructure and research that is the wellspring of innovation. The Tea Party wing opposes virtually all those things. All that unites the two wings is their common desire for lower taxes period.
Globalisation has also weakened the Democrats blue-collar/union base,but the Democrats have absorbed a new constituency created by globalisation what Goldberg calls the Newocracy which combines the multinational corporate manager,the technology entrepreneur and engineer,and the aspirational members of the meritocracy.
These Newocrats previously would have leaned Republican,but now many lean toward Obama. They dont agree with everything,but they sense that he is working on that bridge to the 21st century,while todays G.O.P./Tea Party is just not in the game. Today,we have no real opposition party with its own pathway to the 21st century. We just have opposition.