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This is an archive article published on April 14, 2012

Google8217;s stock split raises questions

The declining search trends underscored investor uncertainty about Google's growth prospects.

An unusual stock split designed to preserve Google Inc founders8217; control of the Web search leader raised questions and some grumbling on Wall Street,even as investors focused on the company8217;s short-term business concerns.

Shares of Google closed 4 per cent lower at 624.60 on Friday,driven by deepening worries about its search ad rates and payments to partners.

The declining search trends underscored investor uncertainty about Google8217;s growth prospects and unease about the company8217;s pending 12.5 billion acquisition of Motorola Mobility.

For some investors though,Google8217;s move to split its stock and create a new class of non-voting shares represented a troubling development.

8220;We worry that this will set a precedent for other people to emulate this move,8221; said Janice Hester Amey,a portfolio manager in the corporate governance unit of the California State Teachers8217; Retirement System,the second largest pension fund in the United States.

Google8217;s existing stock structure,which concentrates roughly 66 percent of the voting shares in the hands of co-founders Larry Page and Sergey Brin and Executive Chairman Eric Schmidt,has been followed by Web companies such as Zynga Inc,Groupon Inc and Facebook.

The creation of new non-voting shares will allow the trio to maintain control without risk of their stakes getting diluted when new shares are issued for employee compensation,acquisitions and other purposes.

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8220;It8217;s one thing for them to maintain it,8221; CalSTRS8217; Hester Amey said of the Google founders8217; voting control. 8220;But perhaps they should put their own capital behind it,instead of taking it out of the hide of the existing shareholders.8221;

CalSTRS,which owns more than 400 million in Google shares,planned on 8220;engaging8221; with the company about the move,as well as with other companies which may be tempted to follow Google8217;s lead,said Hester Amey.

Some wondered whether the new non-voting Google shares,which will have a separate ticker,will trade at a discount to the company8217;s voting shares. That8217;s typically the case when companies have two classes of shares.

In Google8217;s case,the voting shares don8217;t benefit shareholders much,since the founders have majority control of the company. As a result,the premium on the voting shares is not likely to be as large as it normally would be,said Richard Roll,the chair in Applied Finance at UCLA Anderson School of Management.

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Most analysts who cover Google shrugged off the planned stock split and said it merely perpetuated a two-tier system that has long given Google8217;s founders majority control of the company.

8220;It8217;s not inconsistent with how Google has been run in the past,8221; said ITG Investment Research analyst Steve Weinstein. 8220;You,as a public investor,are just along for the ride.8221;

Google attributed a 12 percent drop in its cost per click CPC for the first quarter to a shift to cheaper mobile advertising rates among other factors.

Google explained the reasons for the decline on a conference call with analysts,but that may not comfort bearish investors,BMO Capital Market analyst Daniel Salmon wrote in a research note.

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8220;Mobile is increasingly an area of concern. Google has roughly 90 percent share of mobile search,but this revenue must be shared with OEM handset manufacturers and carriers,8221; said Benchmark analyst Clayton Moran.

The fall in ad rates follows an 8 percent decline in the fourth quarter of 2011.

Barclays analyst Anthony DiClemente,however,said he was less concerned by this decline than others as cost-per-clicks was only part of Google8217;s revenue growth prospects.

8220;We are of the belief that CPCs will improve over time as Google8217;s core search business will monetize well on mobile devices,8221; he said in a note.

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Analysts also said the uncertainty around Google8217;s plans for Motorola Mobility may pressure its shares in the near term.

8220;These results bode well and keep us positive on Google long-term,all the while recognizing that the lack of clarity around MMI is likely to remain an overhang on the stock short-term,8221; Jefferies amp; Co analysts,led by Youssef Squali,said in a note to clients.

More than three times the average volume of Google shares traded hands on Friday.

The stock,which fell 9 percent after Google8217;s fourth-quarter results on January 19,has risen 2 percent since then.

 

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