Opinion The Delhi-Dhaka distance
Bangladesh policy must be liberated from those who imagine the country as frozen in time.
A hundred years ago,the British moved Indias capital from Calcutta to Delhi,and,by siting government here in these baked northern plains,in a town traditionally oriented to the dangerous northwest,subtly warped Indias foreign policy today. Sometimes it seems as if everyone in Delhi is a Pakistan expert,with even those who grew up in the south able to recite bits of Faiz Ahmed Faiz and discuss the Hudood Ordinances. And,all the time,theres another neighbour to the east,almost as large and much more friendly,that New Delhi seems to have its back to permanently.
When the prime minister said that 25 per cent of Bangladeshis are anti-Indian,he was just repeating tired old tropes that have informed too much of New Delhis policy-making. It isnt just that the Jamaat-e-Islami which Dr Singh identified as the focus of anti-India emotion has never gotten more than 6 per cent of the vote. It is that the secular space there is expanding,not contracting,signalled by the decision last year by Bangladeshs supreme court striking down a constitutional amendment that,it said,infringed on its secular character. It is into this struggle for Bangladeshs soul not a new one,but one at a very crucial moment that Dr Singhs words have dropped,betraying New Delhis apparent lack of understanding of how dynamic the situation is there.
Forty years after its formation,the scars of Bangladeshs early years have not yet faded. The struck-down amendment legitimised the actions of Ziaur Rahmans blood-soaked military dictatorship; Zias rise to power followed the brutal murder of Bangladeshs first president,Mujibur Rahman,and most of his family. This is living history: the Bangladesh National Party,led by Zias widow,is on the streets right now,leading an nationwide hartal against an Awami League government led by Mujibs daughter. Mujibs surviving murderers were executed only last year. Zias son was controversially charged on Sunday with planning a grenade assault on a 2004 Sheikh Hasina rally. The country remains deeply divided; even what youre wearing can be an unsubtle political signal. Nehru sorry,Mujib jackets are the Awami Leagues,and safari suits are the BNPs. And it is with this backdrop of division that the countrys secular character,its orientation towards India,and the role of the Jamaat-e-Islami which earned hatred in those distant days of liberation,for siding with the Pakistan army against the Mukti Bahini are all slowly being worked through.
The problem with the prime ministers words is not just the faulty,exaggerated numbers; it is also that saying the the political landscape can change at any time betrays a fatalism about Bangladeshs future. It seems that New Delhi may still not understand that relations with Dhaka must be improved till which political dispensation rules there is irrelevant to Indias security and prosperity.
Though at least,you could think,the government understands that this period of the Awami Leagues unquestioned majority is one that India must take advantage of. Perhaps the PM was trying to convey that sense of urgency? Except that,since Sheikh Hasinas landmark visit to India in January 2010,an enormous amount of nothing has been achieved. Five joint agreements were signed then,focusing on cooperation against Islamist terror and on electricity generation. Others,on boundary demarcation and trade transit,were being worked out.
And then India demonstrated not urgency,but its exact opposite. For each item,it appeared that the Bangladeshi side created the foundations for further cooperation,making what was already agreed-on happen. And,each time,the Indian side failed to reciprocate,or did so with sloth and delay. India postponed boundary discussions for almost a year after Hasinas visit,for example.
As for trade and transit issues,Indias attitude has been abysmal. When Bangladeshs commerce minister snapped,after meeting Anand Sharma,that the concessions being offered were peanuts,his departure from normal diplomatic protocol was understandable. Sharma had just implied that a minor hike in Bangladeshs textile quota was a giant favour. It wasnt a fraction of what Bangladesh had a right to expect. The Tamil Nadu textile lobby,in particular,based around Coimbatore and Salem,has been particularly vocal in demanding continued protection from Bangladeshi imports,and seems to be able to twist Indias trade policy and its foreign policy around its little finger. Various tariff and non-tariff barriers come in the way of freer trade with Indias neighbours,and thats just the way New Delhi likes it but its petty and shortsighted,and hurts us above all.
Sheikh Hasina has to face re-election in two years. She cannot sink political capital into this relationship endlessly without reciprocation. So fixated is New Delhi on the western border,that the benefits of looking east are continually forgotten: not just access to natural gas reserves,or to electricity for the power-starved belt of eastern India,but also the possibility that Indias Northeast,long short of routes to the outside world,will gain affordable transit rights to the sea,completely transforming its economy. For the rest of India,too,longed-for integration with the markets of Southeast Asia cannot happen if we have to go around Bangladesh to get there.
The prime ministers office has announced that he will visit Dhaka in September. Much must be done before then. Most importantly,New Delhis mindset must change. India needs to go the extra mile,ensuring market access for Bangladesh,visibly demonstrating enthusiasm for détente,and not just on our terms. Indias Bangladesh policy must be liberated from those who imagine the country as attitudinally frozen in time,when it is unfreezing itself quite ably. Its economy is booming; its human development indicators are better than Indias,when income is accounted for; and it is boiling with cultural expression. (Its culture of photography,for example,is the most robust in South Asia.)
But they dont quote Faiz enough. So they will never,perhaps,have quite enough mindspace here in New Delhi,where poets from the other Punjab are worshipped,and inherited nostalgia for lost homes on that side of the border colours every political interaction. Another common culture,one perhaps richer,definitely shared by more Indians,spreads across the eastern border but in this Punjabi-dominated city,that will never quite give relations the shove they need.
Perhaps the time has come to outsource Bangladesh foreign policy to Mamata Banerjee? At least the railway connections might get built.
mihir.sharma@expressindia.com