Opinion It is not over with Osama
The systems that created him are alive and well in Islamabad and Riyadh
So Osama bin Laden was living in a specially built villa in Pakistan. I wonder where he got the money to buy it? Cashed in his Saudi 401(k)? A Pakistani subprime mortgage,perhaps? No. I suspect we will find that it all came from the same place most of al-Qaedas funds come from: some combination of private Saudi donations spent under the watchful eye of the Pakistani Army.
Why should we care? Because this is the heart of the matter; thats why. It was both just and strategically vital that the US killed bin Laden,who inspired 9/11. I just wish it were as easy to eliminate the two bad bargains that really made that attack possible,funded it and provided the key plotters and foot soldiers who carried it out. We are talking about the ruling bargains in Saudi Arabia and Pakistan,which are alive and well.
The Saudi ruling bargain is an old partnership between the al-Saud tribe and the Wahhabi religious sect. The al-Saud get to stay in power and live however they want,and,in return,the followers of the Wahhabi sect get to control the countrys religious mores,mosques and education system.
The Wahhabis bless the Saudi regime with legitimacy in the absence of any elections,and the regime blesses them with money and a free hand on religion. The only downside is that this system ensures a steady supply of sitting around guys young Saudi males who have nothing other than religious education and no skills to compete who then get recruited to become 9/11-style hijackers and suicide bombers in Iraq.
No one explains it better than the Saudi writer Mai Yamani,author of Cradle of Islam and the daughter of Saudi Arabias former oil minister. Despite the decade of the Wests war on terror,and Saudi Arabias longer-term alliance with the US,the kingdoms Wahhabi religious establishment has continued to bankroll Islamic extremist ideologies around the world, wrote Yamani in The Daily Star of Beirut,Lebanon,this week.
Bin Laden,born,raised and educated in Saudi Arabia,is a product of this pervasive ideology, Yamani added. He was no religious innovator; he was a product of Wahhabism,and later was exported by the Wahhabi regime as a jihadist. During the 1980s,Saudi Arabia spent some $75 billion for the propagation of Wahhabism,funding schools,mosques and charities throughout the Islamic world,from Pakistan to Afghanistan,Yemen,Algeria and beyond… Not surprisingly,the creation of a transnational Islamic political movement,boosted by thousands of underground jihadist Websites,has blown back into the kingdom. Like the hijackers of 9/11,who were also Saudi-Wahhabi ideological exports… Saudi Arabias reserve army of potential terrorists remains,because the Wahhabi factory of fanatical ideas remains intact. So the real battle has not been with bin Laden,but with that Saudi state-supported ideology factory.
Ditto Pakistan. The Pakistani ruling bargain is set by the Pakistani Army and says: We let you civilians pretend to rule,but we will actually call all the key shots,we will consume nearly 25 per cent of the state budget and we will justify all of this as necessary for Pakistan to confront its real security challenge: India and its occupation of Kashmir. Looking for bin Laden became a side-business for Pakistans military to generate US aid.
As al-Qaeda expert Lawrence Wright observed in The New Yorker this week: Pakistans Army and intelligence service were in the looking-for-bin-Laden business,and if they found him theyd be out of business. Since 9/11,Wright added,the US had given $11 billion to Pakistan,the bulk of it in military aid,much of which was misappropriated to buy weapons to defend against India. (President Hamid Karzai in Afghanistan plays the same game. Hes in the looking-for-stability-in-Afghanistan business. And as long as we keep paying him,hell keep looking.)
What both countries need is shock therapy. For Pakistan,that would mean America converting the lions share of its military aid to K-12 education programmes,while also reducing the US footprint in Afghanistan. Together,the message would be that were ready to help Pakistan fight its real enemies and ours ignorance,illiteracy,corrupt elites and religious obscurantism but we have no interest in being dupes for the nonsense that Pakistan is threatened by India and therefore needs strategic depth in Afghanistan and allies among the Taliban.
Ditto Saudi Arabia. We are in a ménage à trois with al-Sauds and the Wahhabis. We provide al-Sauds security,and they provide us oil. The Wahhabis provide al-Sauds with legitimacy and al-Sauds provide them with money (from us). It works really well for al-Sauds,but not too well for us. The only way out is a new US energy policy,which neither party is proposing.
Hence,my conclusion: We are surely safer with bin Laden dead,but no one will be safe certainly not the many moderate Muslims in Saudi Arabia and Pakistan who deserve a decent future without different ruling bargains in Islamabad and Riyadh.THOMAS L. FRIEDMAN
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