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This is an archive article published on November 2, 2010

RBI cautions against current account deficit

Current account deficit is the gap between the amount the country pays to external world against what it receives from abroad.

The Reserve Bank said the country8217;s widening current account deficit due to a larger import-export gap is a cause for concern and it is difficult to sustain.

8220;If the current trend persists,Current Account Deficit CAD as a percentage of GDP will be significantly higher than in the previous year,8221; RBI Governor D Subbarao said in the second quarterly monetary policy of the central bank.

Current account deficit is the gap between the amount the country pays to external world against what it receives from abroad,barring capital movement. It was around 3.6 per cent of GDP in the first quarter of 2010-11.

Subbarao said it is generally perceived that a CAD above 3 per cent of GDP is 8220;difficult to sustain over the medium-term8221;.

The trade deficit arising out of higher imports than exports during April-September of the current fiscal was USD 62.83 billion against about USD 48 billion in the same period last year.

Net invisibles as per the latest data up to first quarter of this fiscal available with of RBI were USD 20.5 billion against USD 21.2 billion in April-June 2009-10.

The net invisible receipts,which are surpluses of receipts over payments for invisibles like services trade were about USD 79 billion in 2009-10,declining from about USD 90 billion in the previous year.

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RBI said the continuing sluggishness of the global economy led to some moderation in exports growth and invisible receipts,while import growth accelerated due to the strong domestic recovery.

8220;The challenge,therefore,is to rein in the deficit over the medium-term and finance it in the short-term. The medium-term task has to receive policy focus from both the Government and the Reserve Bank,8221; Subbarao said.

He said the short-term task is to see that the current account is fully financed while ensuring that capital flows are not far out of line with the economy8217;s absorptive capacity and that the component of long-term and stable flows in the overall capital flows is high.

 

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