
As the RBI has largely maintained its previous stance of tightening the liquidity in the new credit policy, the industry seems to have taken this decision well. 8220;RBI8217;s mid-term monetary policy is a continuation of its policy announced last time, except that it has realised that there is excess liquidity,8221; the finance minister said.
But why the CRR hike, when, the p-note cap has been brought in by Sebi that will impact liquidity? Agrees, Indranil Sen Gupta, senior director, DSP Merrill Lynch, 8220;we were surprised by the hike, as we expected the RBI to await the liquidity impact of Sebi8217;s p-note cap. If flows dry up, seasonal cash demand will squeeze liquidity in March 2008.8221; However, economic fundamentals remain strong, says Kaushal Sampat, COO, Dun 038; Bradstreet, 8220;strong capital inflows are likely to continue.8221;
The current liquidity situation is likely to continue and the CRR hike may not have significant impact on the retail front. 8220;The hike is unlikely to have any effect on the interest rates. In fact, one can still expect softening of lending rates,8221; said Deepak Parekh, chairman HDFC. As per Venugopal Dhoot, president, Assocham, 8220;the policy statement gives more weightage to inflation.8221;
Will the policy impact the markets in anyway? According to Sandesh Kirkire, chief executive officer, Kotak Mahindra AMC, 8220;the policy measure won8217;t impact the stock markets.8221;
So, how does the market look like for the future? 8220;Markets may still continue to remain euphoric in the near term, on potential rate cuts by fed and excessive risk seeking globally,8221; said Shuchita Mehta, senior economist, Standard Chartered Bank.
RUPEE RISES
MUMBAI: The Indian rupee climbed towards 9-year highs on Tuesday on capital inflows, and traders said central bank intervention stopped the ascent though a gradual appreciation was likely in the near term. The rupee ended at 39.3950/4025 per dollar, up from the previous finish of 39.42/43, but off the intraday high of 39.30.
8220;The central bank will keep coming into the market and buying dollars, there8217;s no particular level as such in their minds, 8221; said a dealer.