Opinion Whos afraid of retail reform?
The Indian debate on FDI in multi-brand retail is taking place in a vacuum. It should be informed by the experience of other countries
With rising doubts about Indias current economic health,there is renewed speculation about a fresh round of financial sector and infrastructure reforms. One of the key areas is the issue of foreign direct investment (FDI) in multi-brand retail. While it is clear that the government is keen to implement this to spur investment,opposition parties and several chief ministers continue to oppose this on fears that this will have an adverse impact on shopkeepers and kirana stores. If the government wants to implement this measure then it must address these fears. In doing so,the government should cite and also learn from the example of retail in other emerging economies. Moreover,it should emphasise that retail regulations can be implemented differently by the respective state governments. There is also a need to demonstrate how retail development is fundamentally a democratic process,that is,driven for the local people (customers) by the local people (producers,suppliers,retailers) allegations of foreign hand and alleged exploitation notwithstanding.
Most of the current debates on this issue appear to be in a vacuum. Instead,the experience of other countries should inform this debate. Thailand has 100 per cent FDI in multi-brand retail and research shows that the introduction of Western organised retail formats has given traditional retailers an impetus to spruce up their business model to become more competitive. In addition,regulations in Thailand have succeeded in imposing modern ideas of hygiene and convenience among fresh food stall owners. In Malaysia,FDI in retailing came with caveats like limited store opening hours in urban areas and limiting the number of hypermarkets in urban areas. This resulted in investors being encouraged more towards investment opportunities in smaller urban areas. The initiatives being undertaken by these investors in the smaller urban areas included the increase of a number of large-format stores,modernisation of smaller retailers and improvement in their competitiveness through infrastructural improvement.
Of course,there are potential downsides to opening up FDI increases in productivity through the introduction of largescale businesses has resulted in some small stores,entrepreneurs and farmers going out of business where they were unable to adapt,as has happened in Brazil and Russia. However,the need to adapt is true in all markets,emerging and developed,and for all retailers,suppliers and farmers large or small,foreign or local. It is worth noting that there are successful,small,local retailers in every market in the world,including mature Western markets.
The Indian government needs to draw from the positive examples of Thailand and Malaysia and other developed markets to alleviate the fears surrounding foreign investments in retail development. The lesson from these emerging markets suggests that in India too,successful implementation of retailing will require further regulatory intervention at local and state levels and the introduction of policies which encourage competitiveness with inclusiveness. In other words,regulators need not be caught between the conflicting goals of promoting trade competitiveness and economic efficiency on the one hand and defending the interests of small shopkeepers and kirana stores on the other.
Another lesson from the experience of other emerging markets is that retail development has occurred in multifarious ways in these countries. In Thailand,transformative regulations,as the name suggests,have dramatically transformed the economy and have been instrumental in making it a shopping destination. In Malaysia,FDI in retail has been more restrictive while trying to balance retail growth equitably across urban and semi-urban regions. The Indian governments proposed decentralised retail FDI policy should highlight to the CMs of the respective states that they too can take different approaches to FDI entry retailing as an agent of transformation of the state economy like in Thailand or an agent of restrictive yet balanced economic development like in Malaysia.
Finally,it is worth noting that retailing is fundamentally a decentralised activity. It is local customers that are served,local people that are employed in stores,local property,sales,and employee taxes that are paid,and so on. Many of the objections to FDI focus on largescale retailing and the associated investment rather than foreign retailers per se. But foreign retailing never works unless there is a local fit which is why history suggests that foreign retailers will often fail rather than succeed. As long as there is effective retail competition and efficient retail distribution accessible to the majority of people,then retailing,including the products sold and the additional services offered,is dependent upon customer choice. In other words,retailing becomes a democratic process and not a dictatorship.
The focus of this retail debate needs to shift to how best can FDI in multi-brand retailing and accompanying regulations foster retail competitiveness while securing inclusion for the traditional retailers. Faced with a global economic slowdown,the political leaders,both at the national and state levels,must display leadership and foresight and enable investment- and employment-friendly conditions. It is time to put fears to rest and instead usher in a climate of hope and belief in Indias economic future.
Malobi Mukherjee is research fellow,Richard Cuthbertson is research director,Oxford Institute of Retail Management,at the University of Oxfords Said Business School