The tragedy of the Congress is that in order to maintain its proud position as a national party with a pan Indian vision and appeal,it has steadily conceded ground at the state level to its allies. To retain power at the Centre,the Congress needs the support of the very political parties which are its rivals in the states. This has blunted its edge as a credible force at the state level. Paradoxically,as the Congress gets stronger at the Centre,it gets weaker in the states: it is in power in far fewer states under the Manmohan Singh government than when Atal Behari Vajpayee was prime minister.
The latest blow is the betrayal by Lalu Prasad,considered the partys most dependable ally. Playing the role of Brutus,Lalu has coolly divided up Bihars 40 parliamentary constituencies between Ram Vilas Paswan and himself ,leaving the Congress out in the cold. The alliance preserved only three seats for the Congress ,exactly the number the party won in the 2004 election. Lalu displayed no
remorse,claiming the Congress was a non-starter in Bihar.
Bihar is merely the latest example of the Congress getting the wrong end of the stick in seat-sharing arrangements. For West Bengals 42 seats,it gets 14 candidates and Mamata Banerjees Trinamool Congress 28. In the present Lok Sabha the Congress held six seats and the TC one. Constrained by the Lefts support to the Manmohan Singh government,the Congress scrupulously kept out of opposition politics in Bengal for nearly five years. The TC filled the vacuum and leapt to the forefront as the CPMs main local challenger. In Maharashtra,the Congress needs to keep looking over its shoulder to keep the wily Sharad Pawar in check. The NCP,like all Congresss state-level allies,demanded a bigger share of the pie than in 2004.
The history of power-sharing arrangements indicates that they have invariably worked to the Congresss disadvantage. Its allies have risen to power on its shoulders,but,once well-ensconced,have ended up kicking the footstool. One of the earliest examples of the Congress being wiped out by an alliance is in Bengal. Chief Minister Ajoy Mukherjee,of the mother partys offshoot,the Bangla Congress,appointed Jyoti Basu his home minister and deputy CM in the United Front government in the 60s. From then on,the communists went from strength to strength and the Congress was steadily marginalised. In UP,the Congress sometimes tacitly backed Mayawati to keep out the BJP. Slowly and steadily,the BSP gobbled up the Congresss traditional vote-bank: first Dalits,then minorities and finally Brahmins,rendering the Congress largely irrelevant on what was once its home turf.
More recently,in Karnataka,the Congresss ill-advised alliance with Deve Gowda helped the BJP ride to power in the assembly. Bending over backwards to meet Gowdas continuous demands,the Congress even banished its own Vokkaliga leader S.M. Krishna from the state. (In contrast,in UP,one of the reasons for the breakdown of talks with the Samajwadi Party,is the SPs refusal to back sitting MPs Raj Babbar and Beni Prasad Verma who committed the cardinal sin of defecting from SP to Congress. Similarly,Lalu is fuming after learning that the Congress planned to field his estranged brother-in-law Sadhu Yadav. In Jammu and Kashmir,in 2002,the party entered into a power-sharing arrangement with Mufti Mohammed Sayeeds PDP. The PDP whipped up
regional sentiment against then CM Ghulam Nabi Azad over land allotment for Amarnath pilgrims although the PDP in government was party to the decision.
The power structure in the Congress is such that the head
office in Delhi does not give local units much say in management. For instance,it brusquely nixed the majority view in the Maharashtra unit,that ties with the untrustworthy NCP be broken. It was Indira Gandhi who started the systematic process of cutting local satraps to size for fear that they could pose a challenge to the central leadership. This short-sighted policy continues. A leaderless state Congress naturally finds it difficult to compete with powerful,personable regional chieftains. In comparison,the BJP,also a national party,has encouraged strong CMs. Congress leaders at the Delhi headquarters will explain to you woefully,when unsound decisions are made,that the party has perforce to sacrifice its own interests for the greater good of the Central government. But if it continues to steadily weaken its state units,the Congress at the Centre will in any case become an unsustainable commodity. That lesson is perhaps slowly beginning to sink in,given that it decided to field as many candidates as possible in UP and Bihar for the coming polls,regardless of whether that cuts into the vote share of its allies at the Centre.
coomi.kapoor@expressindia.com