The real test for Singh and Zardari begins now,there are spoilers on either side
For once,a high political encounter between the leaders of India and Pakistan went according to script. Sundays lunch meeting in Delhi between Prime Minister Manmohan Singh and the visiting Pakistan President Asif Ali Zardari seems to have set the stage for an early and productive visit by the former to Islamabad. Having revived with great tenacity the peace process that went into a coma after the 2008 Mumbai attack,Singh and Zardari surprised the world this month by organising a diplomatic opportunity for their engagement. Zardari expressed the wish to make a private visit to Ajmer Sharif,and Singh seized on it to host the luncheon meeting.
So far so good. The real test for Singh and Zardari,however,begins now. There are enough spoilers on either side to limit the possibilities. The army,the militant groups and Zardaris countless political opponents in Pakistan come readily to mind. The conservative elements in the Congress,the BJP and the habitual hawks in Delhis bureaucratic establishment have always demurred at Singhs penchant for normalising ties with Pakistan. Yet it is not difficult to visualise a solid trade agenda for Singhs visit to Pakistan that promotes economic integration. Singh and Zardari,however,will find the big political issues a lot trickier. India wants progress in bringing the Mumbai plotters to book and,more broadly,on dismantling Pakistans terror infrastructure,issues on which Zardari has limited room for manoeuvre. Pakistan,in turn,wants a grand political gesture on Kashmir-related issues,especially the Siachen dispute that Singh might find it hard to deliver. Whatever the undeclared political understanding between Singh and Zardari might be,they must demonstrate real leadership in the coming weeks to rally domestic political support.