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This is an archive article published on November 5, 2008

Rupee posts biggest single-day rise in 10 yrs

Driven by the sustained rise in shares, heavy dollar sales by corporates and the unwinding of long dollar positions by banks...

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Driven by the sustained rise in shares, heavy dollar sales by corporates and the unwinding of long dollar positions by banks, the Indian rupee posted its biggest single-day gain in more than a decade on Tuesday. The rupee closed at 47.69/71 per dollar, two per cent stronger than 48.64/65 at Monday8217;s close. Last week, the rupee had dropped to a record low of 50.29.

According to dealers, it was the biggest single-day gain for the rupee since January 19, 1998, when the rupee had risen 3.6 per cent after the central bank had taken a number of steps including a hikes in the cash reserve ratio, repo rate and bank rate. 8220;There was a lot of dollar supply and no real demand in the market. People are now expecting more foreign inflows following the RBI cut in CRR, SLR and repo rate on last Saturday,8221; dealers said. Dealers said dollar inflows from a large pharmaceutical company also helped the rupee rally.

Hopes that cuts in bank lending rates would help credit flow more freely and ease a cash squeeze also boosted the sentiment.

Foreign funds were buyers in Indian market in the last two days. They have sold a net 12.6 billion worth of Indian shares so far in 2008, helping push the rupee down more than 17 per cent. They bought a record 17.4 billion in 2007, when the rupee rose 12.3 per cent.

The unwinding of long dollar positions based on the non-deliverable forward rates resulted in large stops being triggered, which led to the all-round dollar selling, the chief dealer with a state-run bank said. Closing below 47.75 looks bullish for the rupee, it may strengthen beyond 47 per dollar if it holds near these levels on Wednesday, he added. One-month offshore non-deliverable forward contracts were quoting at 48.02/22 per dollar, weaker than the onshore spot rate, but much stronger from 51-52 levels seen last week, indicating some improvement in rupee sentiment.

 

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