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This is an archive article published on November 3, 2009

Talking to Pakistan: Engagement without Expectation

As India prepares to engage Pakistan again,Delhi should have no expectation at all of achieving substantive results in the near future or persuading Islamabad to dismantle its terror machine any time soon.

As India prepares to engage Pakistan again,Delhi should have no expectation at all of achieving substantive results in the near future or persuading Islamabad to dismantle its terror machine any time soon.

Why should we,then,talk to Pakistan? After all,Prime Minister

Manmohan Singh during his first term and his two predecessors–Atal Bihari Vajpayee and Inder Kumar Gujral — have all tried to build a different relationship with Pakistan,but found themselves deeply disappointed.

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The answer is that it is in India’s interest to persist with an effort to change the nature of Pakistani state. Not talking to Pakistan does not in any case lessen the conflict or remove the sources of hostility across the border. We might turn our back on Pakistan; but Islamabad won’t look away from us. A permanent separation,happy or otherwise,has never been on the cards.

It would have been much simpler if we could defeat Pakistan in a war and force peace on our terms. The current nuclear balance of terror between the two countries rules out such a course.

Where does that leave us? That India needs a genuine reconciliation with Pakistan is undeniable. That enduring peace in the Subcontinent is not realisable in the near term is also evident. Our new approach to Pakistan,then,must be ‘engagement without short-term expectations’. This involves an important change in our assumptions about Pakistan — that Islamabad is a rational actor which pursues its enlightened self interest.

If this were the case,it should not have been difficult to find at least a short term pause in our conflict if not an enduring peace settlement.

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The moment we stop seeing Pakistan as a coherent state,we would recognise that there in no reason to burden the talks with it with the kind of emotion that we tend to.

Rethinking the linkage between talks and terror would mean India must relentlessly reform its internal security apparatus without a reference to either Pakistan’s denials or promises.

Talks with Pakistan must be a minor part of a broader strategy that

recognises the deepening divisions within its state,the war on its western frontiers,and the growing uncertainty in the relations between Islamabad and the West.

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If Delhi has the strategic patience and political stamina to pursue long-term goals across the border,it will find many opportunities to work with potential friends in the neighbouring country and in the international community to induce consequential internal change in Pakistan.

(C. Raja Mohan is Henry A. Kissinger Chair in Foreign Policy and International Relations,Library of Congress,Washington DC)

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