
As environmental issues make it to front page of newspapers, questions of markets and special policies come to the fore. The moot point of an ‘‘ecological economic policy’’ is that market prices are necessary, but not sufficient as explanations, since they do not capture sustainability concerns.For instance, consider a centrally planned economy with quantitative interventions at the level of the firm, which has to be restructured. Much the same would apply to less rigidly controlled economies. As is well known, centrally planned economies suffered from ecological nightmares. In Poland, 27 regions were classified as ecological disaster areas. The former Soviet Union had serious pollution problems in all major cities.
A structural adjustment programme would need to provide powerful incentives to introduce technological modernisation of a sustainable kind. The earlier approach based on the maximal use of energy and natural resources would need to be changed with a severe structural adjustment regime, as Abenbegian had shown. Extension of micro-electronics, modern communication, new materials (fibre optics, lasers and ceramics, photovoltaics and at the frontier super- conductivity) provide the technology for meeting human needs in a manner which does not destroy the environment. Also, as consumer patterns and products change, the share of commodities requiring large amounts of energy and materials decline.While developing countries are far away from the consumer revolution there is no reason to ignore the possibilities of an ecological friendly industrial revolution based on modern technology, provided the problem can be visualised as that of global cooperation in technology diffusion.
Take the case of electricity pricing. The economics of the transformation from a non-sustainable to a new technology energy plant would be higher capital costs, at the margin, but lower current costs and working capital requirements. Plant-wise analysis would show that the marginal capital cost need not always be that of a green field plant since modernisation and existing expansion costs are generally lower.
The CERC, the Indian electricity regulator, has strongly recommended a long-run marginal cost pricing policy for the power sector rather than the existing cost plus pricing setup. Also the Maharashtra Electricity Regulator has not allowed the cost plus price of imported fuel for interregional transmission, but has allowed the hydel cost as an ‘availability’ tariff, as suggested by me. But a lonely swallow does not make a summer.
The difficulty is that we now want the consumer to pay the price of public goods, which is good, but very seldom do we define what the fair price is. So the market means that he has to pay for inefficiency and historical mistakes.
As vice chancellor of Jawaharlal Nehru University, I objected to the university paying the electricity department for distribution charges, when it had its own distribution system. Either they should have taken over our distribution system and pay for it, or charge us less. Unfortunately, I could not remedy it even when I was power minister. I suspect the university was one of the few bulk consumers which paid and so they would not let go off the goose which laid the golden egg.The theoretical answer is good regulation or competition. Competition may mean capacity use of less than 30 per cent, which is what happens in developed countries. But we are poor. We cannot afford enormous amounts of capital. Regulation means politicians getting off the back of those who can do it. Also, there are no free lunches. We are a long way off. But somebody has to show the mirror, so that we start on the long way up.




