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This is an archive article published on August 30, 2008

Inflation beyond tolerable limit: RBI

Even as economic growth for April-June 2008 slowed down to 7.9 per cent, the Reserve Bank of India...

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Even as economic growth for April-June 2008 slowed down to 7.9 per cent, the Reserve Bank of India RBI maintained its hawkish stance, stating that inflation at 12.4 per cent was way beyond the tolerable limit and hinted at stringent measures to keep price rise under check.

The RBI, which aims for 7 per cent inflation by the fiscal year-end, said the immediate challenge was to bring down inflation to a tolerable level as soon as possible. 8220;As the inflation rates have hardened beyond tolerable levels, monetary policy would continue to address aggregate demand pressures, which appear to be strongly in evidence,8221; the RBI said in its Annual Report for 2007-08.

At a time of persistent inflationary pressures, this posed 8220;severe challenges to monetary management8221;. 8220;Thus, there is a need to ensure that the effectiveness of monetary policy is not diluted by fiscal expansion,8221; it said.

The RBI8217;s objective would be to bring down the prevailing intolerable level of inflation, now at 12.40 per cent, to a tolerable level of below 5 per cent as soon as possible and around 3 per cent in the medium-term, it said. There were some downside risks to growth and upward pressures on inflation in the near-term. But the prospects in the medium and long-term term continued to be robust for the economy, the RBI said.

The apex bank said an 8 per cent growth this year was realistic given the prevailing economic conditions. Earlier, the RBI had projected an 8-8.5 per cent growth.

There was a need to persist with reforms in all sectors to realise the full potential of the economy, RBI said.

It warned the government might have to raise fuel prices again and said government finances might come under pressure due to higher subsidy costs, a waiver of loans to small farmers and a sharp hike in salaries of government employees.

 

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