Opinion Super Mario scores for Europe
Draghi has turned the ECB into a lender of last resort,prepared to throw everything into preserving the euro
Germanys Mannschaft has always been a formidable soccer team. Its chief quality has been a tenacity and tempo capable of overcoming all odds. This is not to say that Germany has failed to produce great footballers Gerd Müller,Karl-Heinz Rummenigge and Franz Beckenbauer come to mind. It is merely to say collective power has trumped individual prowess.
But against one team Germany always breaks down as if caught in a web. It pushes,it presses,it pounds and it flounders. That team is Italy,whose 2-1 victory over the favoured German side in this years European Championship extended a long run of major-tournament domination over Germany. Italian malleability and artistry are too much for German diktat.
All of this comes to mind as I watch Super Mario undo Germany with a series of feints that have left hardline Bundesbank bruisers looking as nimble and effective as beached whales.
Little by little,Mario Draghi,the Italian president of the European Central Bank,has taken an institution whose overriding mission was to keep inflation in check the obsession that built the Deutsche Mark and turned it into a lender of last resort prepared to throw everything into buying the distressed eurozone sovereign debt of countries like Spain and Italy and so preserve the euro.
Many Germans are not happy,convinced an inflationary southern rot is setting in,but Draghi is right. Europe is irreversible; for that,at this point,the euro must be,too. The preamble to the US Constitution speaks of a more perfect union. The founding European treaties speak of ever closer union. For neither has the road to union been devoid of battles between north and south. But the cause has been worth the fight on both sides of the Atlantic: There simply is no greater one. For Europe the approaching centennial of the outbreak of World War I should be sufficient reminder of that.
But people have short memories. They think the euro is a dispensable experiment,a technical construct or a hedgies plaything,when it is the solemn gauge of German commitment to a united Europe a project that,like most great undertakings,comes at a price.
For both Germany and Italy,the EU was a way out of post-war devastation and shame. For Italy,in addition,it was a way to scale the Alps, to tie itself to the more developed parts of Europe and resist the chaotic tug of its southern half. Now a united Germany views Europe more as actuary than supplicant. In Italy,by contrast,a certain European idealism endures. One way to view Draghis battle with the Bundesbank is this: A big idea (Europe) versus a smaller one (price stability).
But what good is a Europe where the treaty-stipulated role of the central bank is being finessed by Super Mario,where Germany becomes the permanent subsidiser of debtor nations like Spain and Italy,and where depression and unemployment become the enduring lot of poorer countries unable to regain competitiveness through devaluation?
The answer is that this is not a good Europe. The immediate future will be very tough,but it is a lot better than the tumultuous alternative of Europes unravelling; and in this crisis the seeds of ever greater European integration are being sown.
The euro was a hasty marriage precipitated by the end of the Cold War,the quid pro quo of Germanys anxious neighbours for its unification. This crisis is a belated post-bubble reckoning with the implications of that act.
And so the push is now on toward necessary conditions of a shared currency like fiscal union Draghis unlimited purchase of bonds is conditioned on tough fiscal adjustment programs and a banking union built around a new eurozone supervisor. The path to both will be rough. Politicians interests are at stake. Economies are shrinking. But whatever the howls it is clear enough this far into the euro crisis that ever closer union is an obstinate idea that has entered the European consciousness,even if it goes unmentioned.
Certainly,it is present in Chancellor Angela Merkels mind. She lived under communism in a Germany divided by the consequences of fascism and so knew the two great scourges of 20th century Europe. Slowly,cautiously,falteringly she has moved in the right direction and deserves credit.
Draghi the Jesuit has helped her,with his elliptical phrases and very Italian capacity to zigzag to the objective. It is tempting to compare him to Alexander Hamilton at the time of the US assumption crisis. But I prefer to see him as Andrea Pirlo,the Italian midfielder with 360-degree vision,never hurried,always assured,master of the short and the long pass,bane of Germany,a fantasist who hits the target with precision.