Bihar Election 2025 Exit Polls: Axis My India predicts 121-141 seats for NDA, Today’s Chanakya gives it 160+

Bihar Election Exit Poll Results 2025: As per Axis My India's prediction, 45% women are likely to have voted for NDA while MGB is likely to gain 40% of their votes.

bihar assembly elections exit pollsThe result will be announced on November 14. (Graphic by Abhishek Mitra)

Bihar Assembly Election Exit Polls 2025: The BJP-led National Democratic Alliance is likely to retain power in Bihar, as per Axis My India and Today’s Chanakya prediction published today. Axis My India predicted NDA to win by a narrow margin with 121 to 141 seats, MGB 98 to 118, JSP 0 to 2 seats while Today’s Chanakya projected BJP a major victory with 160 seats, RJD 77 and Others six seats. On Tuesday, nine exit polls also projected the NDA to win 147 seats in the 243-member Assembly. The Mahagathbandhan is expected to win in 90 constituencies. Political analyst-turned-politician Prashant Kishor’s Jan Suraaj Party is expected to win one seat, while others parties are likely to win five.  The results will be announced on November 14.

Bihar Election Results 2025 LIVE: Follow Counting Updates Here

Who are the parties contesting? The NDA hopes to continue to helm the state, while the RJD and Congress are hoping to break JD(U) leader Nitish Kumar’s two-decade-run as Bihar Chief Minister. While the RJD in alliance with the JD(U) won the 2015 Bihar elections, the alliance broke soon after. Now, RJD leader Tejashwi Yadav, supported by the Congress, is fighting to break the RJD’s electoral jinx. The key candidates include Bijendra Prasad Yadav, a veteran JD(U) leader and the most senior member of the state cabinet, who seeks to retain his Supaul seat for a record eighth term.

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Bihar Election 2025 Exit Poll Results: RJD, JDU, BJP, Congress, LJP, Jan Suraaj Party Seat Share & Projections

How accurate were 2020 exit polls: The exit polls are surveys which are conducted by major media houses and independent agencies immediately after voting ends. In the 2020 Bihar Assembly elections, most exit polls had forecast either a sweeping victory for Tejashwi Yadav or a tight race, suggesting setbacks for the NDA. Tejashwi Yadav’s RJD emerged as the single largest party with 75 seats, while the BJP followed closely with 74. Altogether, the NDA secured 125 seats, just surpassing the majority mark of 122, as the opposition Mahagathbandhan finished with 110 seats.

Live Updates
Nov 12, 2025 09:41 PM IST
Bihar Election 2025 Exit Polls LIVE Updates: Women shatter voting records in Bihar, turnout 8.8% more, exceed men in absolute numbers too

At the close of polling on Tuesday in the Bihar Assembly elections, the state not only notched its highest-ever voter turnout, but also saw women set a new record in voting. Against the overall turnout of a record 66.91%, the voting percentage among women voters was 71.6%, as much as 8.8 percentage points more than the 62.8% turnout among men and the largest ever gap.

In terms of absolute numbers too, women appear to have out-voted men in Bihar, which would be a first for the state.

After the Election Commission’s (EC) Special Intensive Revision (SIR) of electoral rolls in the state, which incidentally saw more deletions among women voters than men, Bihar had 3.93 crore men electors and 3.51 women voters – a gap of 42.34 lakh. While the EC has not released data on the absolute number of men and women who voted across the two phases in Bihar, the turnout percentages shared by it indicate that 2.52 crore women voted compared to 2.47 crore men – a difference of 5 lakh. Read more

Nov 12, 2025 06:53 PM IST
Bihar Election 2025 Exit Polls LIVE Updates: 34% voters want Tejashwi as CM, 22% prefer Nitish Kumar -- Axis My India predicts

The poll agency Axis My India says 22% of voters in Bihar want Nitish Kumar as Chief Minister while 34% want Tejashwi Yadav.

https://twitter.com/AxisMyIndia/status/1988580118936306149?s=20

Nov 12, 2025 06:44 PM IST
Bihar Election 2025 Exit Polls LIVE Updates: Axis My India predicts 121-141 seats for NDA; MGB likely to bag 98-118

The BJP-led National Democratic Alliance is likely to retain power in Bihar, as per Axis My India’s prediction published today. The poll agency has predicted NDA to win 121 to 141 seats, MGB 98 to 118, JSP 0 to 2 seats

Nov 12, 2025 05:17 PM IST
Bihar Exit Polls LIVE Updates: Here's Axis My India's vote share prediction

Axis My India's predictions will out shortly and the poll agency says NDA is poised to win 43%, Mahagatbandhan 41%, JSP 4% and Others 12%.

Nov 12, 2025 04:31 PM IST
Bihar Exit Polls LIVE Updates: Chanakya, Axis My India predictions awaited

While 9 exit polls suggested a clean sweep by JD(U)-led NDA in Bihar, the predictions of Chanakya and Axis are awaited today.

Nov 12, 2025 01:56 PM IST
Bihar Exit Polls LIVE Updates: BJP calls Opposition 'delusional'

Exit Polls, BJP national spokesperson Ajay Alok calls Opposition leaders "delusional". "When this happens, the person starts imagining himself winning 99 seats, becoming the CM, and even forming the government... On the 18th, he should take an oath that he will return everything he has stolen and all the money he has earned and promise not to repeat such mistakes again..."

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Nov 12, 2025 01:27 PM IST
Bihar exit poll results LIVE updates: Tejashwi says vote counting could be slowed down to help NDA win

RJD leader and Mahagathbandhan CM face Tejashwi Yadav has expressed fear of slowing down the vote counting. "They [BJP] will attempt to slow down the counting of votes and will spread fear in District Headquarters."

"They will not do anything where a bomb blast takes place. But they will take out a military flag march across all districts in Bihar to murder democracy so that there is fear among the people. In 2020 elections, too, people voted for change. But there was foul play and there was a margin of just 12,000 votes. This time, we shall clean sweep. Mahagathbandhan will register a massive victory... Our people won't be scared. They will stop vote chori, protect democracy and will do whatever sacrifices are needed to be made. But foul play will not be allowed this time."

Nov 12, 2025 01:14 PM IST
Bihar Exit Poll Results LIVE Updates: Digvijaya Singh says NDA can win only by manipulation of voter lists, EVMs

Congress leader Digvijaya Singh said the Bihar electoral contest was even and if NDA wins, it would mean manipulation of the voting figures. "I don't trust exit polls, however, when I had gone to Bihar... I didn't feel that there was any one-sided contest. There was an even contest. Discussion were being done that how much votes Prashant Kishor's party and AIMIM would cut. Some exit polls are showing 180 seats, some 160 seats (to NDA). If the NDA wins more than 140 seats, then it would be only due to manipulated voter lists and manipulated EVMs," he said.

Nov 12, 2025 01:05 PM IST
Bihar election exit poll results: Fake surveys shown to pressure polling officials, claims Tejashwi

Tejashwi Yadav has alleged exit polls showed "fake results" to pressure polling officials.

Nov 12, 2025 12:56 PM IST
Bihar exit polls results: Tejashwi alleges exit polls conducted BJP's directions

RJD chief Tejashwi Yadav has alleged that the exit polls, which projected an NDA victory in Bihar, were conducted at the direction of the BJP's top leadership.

Nov 12, 2025 11:54 AM IST
Bihar election exit poll results: Today's Chanakya likely to release survey today

Acclaimed pollster Today's Chanakya said it will release the results of its survey today.

Nov 12, 2025 11:52 AM IST
Bihar election results: Chanakya strategies projects 100-108 Mahagathbandhan seats

Chanakya Strategies projected the NDA to win 130-138 seats, and MGB to win 100-108 seats in its exit polls for Bihar Assembly elections 2025.

Nov 12, 2025 11:43 AM IST
Bihar election results: Dainik Bhaskar exit polls say Mahagathbandhan could get 73-91 seats

Dainik Bhaskar’s exit poll projected NDA’s win with 145-160 seats, while Mahagathbandhan is likely to get 73-91 seats. Prashant Kishor’s Jan Suraaj failed to impress in the party’s debut assembly election, averaging just 0 to 3 seats in the Dainik Bhaskar exit poll.

Nov 12, 2025 11:41 AM IST
Bihar Exit Polls: People's Pulse predicts 133-148 seats for NDA

According to the exit poll results by People’s Pulse, NDA is likely to win from 133-148 seats while the Mahagathbandhan is likely to win from 75-101 seats. Jan Suraaj, as per People’s Pulse, is likely to win from 0-5 seats. P-Marq also had similar predictions in its exit poll, projecting NDA to win 142-162 seats, MGB likely to win 80-98 seats, and Jan Suraaj likely to win 1-4 seats.

Nov 12, 2025 11:40 AM IST
Bihar exit polls: Exit polls point to NDA win. Check out Matrize results

Major exit polls have predicted a JDU-led NDA win with a clear majority in Bihar. Out of the total 243 seats in Bihar, Matrize predicted that the JDU-BJP alliance is expected to sweep the polls with 147-167 seats, while the RJD-led Mahagathbandhan is expected to win around 70-90 seats. Prashant Kishor’s Jan Suraaj, according to the exit poll, is likely to win on 0-2 seats.

Nov 11, 2025 10:32 PM IST
Bihar Exit Polls LIVE Updates: Election records with historic voter turnout of 66.91%

Bihar Assembly elections concluded with a voter turnout of 66.91%, the highest recorded in the State since 1951, the Election Commission said on Tuesday.

Turnout among male voters was 62.8% and amongst female voters it was 71.6%, according to data shared by the EC.

In the second phase of the Assembly polls, the state recorded a voter participation of 68.76%, with 74.03% of female electors and 64.1% of male electors appearing at the booths.

Voter participation in the First Phase (on November 6) was 65.08%.

Nov 11, 2025 10:19 PM IST
Bihar Exit Polls LIVE Updates: 'Exit polls are not surprising,' BJP candidate Tarkishore Prasad attributes exit poll figures to 'development work'

Former Deputy CM and BJP candidate from Katihar, Tarkishore Prasad, said, "These exit polls are not surprising because CM Nitish Kumar has transformed Bihar since 2005... We trust the voters of Bihar. We trust the development work we have done... The NDA and the BJP will certainly hoist the flag of victory..."--ANI

Nov 11, 2025 10:10 PM IST
Bihar Exit Polls LIVE Updates: Seemanchal records highest voter turnout, Mahagathbandhan’s stronghold shows lowest

As per the Bihar CEO’s office, the Muslim-dominated Seemanchal recorded the highest turnout with an average of 73.77%, driven by polling in Kishanganj (76.26%), Katihar (75.23%), Purnia (73.79%), and Araria (67.79%) districts.

Magadh recorded the lowest average turnout at 63.30%, followed by Shahabad at 63.96%. These are considered as the Mahagathbandhan’s stronghold regions.

Read the full report here

Nov 11, 2025 09:18 PM IST
Bihar Exit Polls LIVE Updates: 'Results would be even better than the Exit Polls,' says BJP MP Jagadambika Pal

On exit polls for the Bihar Assembly Election, BJP MP Jagadambika Pal said, "We have been saying since the beginning that the NDA will form the government with a 2/3rd majority... The high voter turnout was proof that there is a pro-cumbency in Bihar... The results would be even better than the Exit Polls."--ANI

Nov 11, 2025 09:00 PM IST
Bihar Exit Polls LIVE Updates: 65 per cent women voters voted for NDA, shows exit poll data

According to exit poll data from Matrize, 65 per cent women voters voted for NDA and 27 per cent voted for the Mahagathbandhan.

Nov 11, 2025 08:14 PM IST
Bihar Exit Polls LIVE Updates: NDA to retain power in Bihar, as per exit polls by DV Research and TIF Research

As per opinion polls conducted by two more agencies -- DV Research and TIF Research -- the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) will retain power in Bihar.

DV Research:

NDA 137–152

MGB 83–98

JSP 2–4

Others 1–8

TIF Research:

NDA -- 145–163

MGB -- 76–95

JSP -- 0–0

Others -- 3–6

Nov 11, 2025 07:25 PM IST
Bihar Exit Polls LIVE Updates: Exit poll summary

Nine exit polls cited by The Indian Express have projected the National Democratic Alliance to win the Bihar Assembly election 2025.

Here is a summary of the projections:

Nov 11, 2025 07:13 PM IST
Bihar Exit Polls LIVE Updates: NDA to win 130-138 seats, as per exit polls by Chanakya Strategies

Chanakya Strategies has projected the NDA to win 130-138 seats, and MGB to win 100-108 seats in its exit polls for Bihar Assembly elections 2025. Other parties are likely to win 3-5, while Prashant Kishor's Jan Suraaj Party is not expected to win any seats

Nov 11, 2025 07:05 PM IST
Bihar Exit Polls LIVE Updates: NDA likely to retain power in Bihar, as per P-Marq exit polls

Another opinion poll conducted by P-Marq has projected an NDA victory in the Bihar elections 2025 with 142-162 seats. So far, seven exit polls, cited by The Indian Express have projected the NDA to win.

Party - Seats

NDA - 142-162

MGB - 80-98

JSP - 1-4

OTH - 0-3

Nov 11, 2025 06:59 PM IST
Bihar Exit Polls LIVE Updates: NDA leads in ABP's exit polls, to retain power in Bihar with 133-148 seats

As per the exit polls conducted by the ABP, the National Democratic Alliance is projected to win 133-148 seats, MGB 87-102 and Others 3-5.

Nov 11, 2025 06:57 PM IST
Bihar Exit Polls LIVE Updates: JVC projects NDA clean sweep in exit polls

According to the exit polls by JVC, the National Democratic Alliance is likely to retain power in Bihar with 135-150 constitiues in its 243-seat Assembly.

The projections are as follows:

NDA 135 - 150

INDIA 88- 103

JSP 0 - 1

Others 3-6

Nov 11, 2025 06:53 PM IST
Bihar Exit Polls LIVE Updates: People's Insight projects NDA victory in exit polls

In its exit poll, People's Insight has projected a victory for the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) in the Bihar Assembly election 2025.

People's Insight's predictions are as below, as reported by Hindustan Times

NDA:

  • BJP- 68-72 seats
  • JDU- 55-60 seats
  • LJP- 9-12 seats
  • HAM- 1-2 seats
  • RLM- 0-2 seats

    • Mahagathbandhan:

  • RJD- 65-72 seats
  • INC- 9-13 seats
  • Left- 11-14 seats
  • VIP- 2-3 seats
  • IIP- 0-0 seats
    • Nov 11, 2025 06:48 PM IST
    Bihar Exit Polls LIVE Updates: BJP to win Bihar elections, as per Dainik Bhaskar

    As per exit polls conducted by Dainik Bhaskar for Bihar Elections 2025, the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) is expected to win 145-160 seats, the Mahagathbandhan (MGB) bloc is projected to win 73-91 seats, and others are likely to win 5-7 seats. Prashant Kishor’s Jan Suraaj Party is expected to win 0-3 seats.

    Nov 11, 2025 06:39 PM IST
    Bihar Exit Polls LIVE Updates: NDA likely to form govt in Bihar, predicts 2 exit polls

    According to two exit polls conducted, the National Democractic Alliance (NDA) is likely to form the government in Bihar.

    As per exit polls by Matrize for the Bihar Assembly Election 2025 have projected the NDA to win 147-167, Mahagathbandhan 70-90, Prashant Kishor's Jan Suraaj Party 0-2, and Others 2-8.

    Another exit polls conducted by People's Pulse has given NDA 133-159 seats, MGB 75-101, JSP 0-5 and Others 2-8.

    Nov 11, 2025 06:25 PM IST
    Bihar Exit Polls LIVE Updates: What time will exit polls be announced?

    The exit polls are expected to be released after 6:30 pm.

    Nov 11, 2025 06:11 PM IST
    Bihar Exit Polls LIVE Updates: How many seats did key parties win in the 2015 elections?

    In 2015, the Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD) emerged as the largest party in Bihar Assembly election with 80 seats. In terms of vote share, the BJP led with nearly 24.42% per cent of the votes, as per data from the Election Commission.

    Party - Seats

    RJD - 80

    JD(U) - 71

    BJP - 53

    INC - 27

    IND - 4

    Nov 11, 2025 06:04 PM IST
    Bihar Exit Polls LIVE Updates: Bihar records 67.14% voter turnout till 5 pm, highest in history; see district-wise breakdown

    Bihar in the second phase of its 2025 Assembly elections recorded the highest voter participation in its history with 67.14% voters turning up to the booths till 5 pm, the Chief Electoral Officer, Bihar notified on Tuesday.

    Here is a breakdown of the district-wise data:

    Paschim Champaran - 69.02

    Purvi Champaran - 69.31

    Sheohar - 67.31

    Sitamarhi - 65.29

    Madhubani - 61.79

    Supaul - 70.69

    Araria - 67.79

    Kishanganj - 76.26

    Purnia - 73.79

    Katihar - 75.23

    Bhagalpur - 66.03

    Banka - 68.91

    Kaimur (Bhabhua) - 67.22

    Rohtas - 60.69

    Arwal - 63.06

    Jahanabad - 64.36

    Aurangabad - 64.48

    Gaya - 67.50

    Nawada - 57.11

    Jamui - 67.81

    Nov 11, 2025 05:42 PM IST
    Bihar Exit Polls LIVE Updates: How many seats did key parties win in the 2020 elections?

    In 2020, the Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD) emerged as the largest party in Bihar Assembly election with 75 seats.

    It was followed by the Bharatiya Janta Party (BJP) with 74, Janata Dal (United) with 43, the Indian National Congress with 19, and the Communist Party Of India (Marxist-Leninist) Liberation with 12.

    The All India Majlis-E-Ittehadul Muslimeen (AIMIM) won in 5 constituencies for the 243-seat Assembly.

    Nov 11, 2025 05:30 PM IST
    Bihar Exit Polls LIVE Updates: Who conducts exit polls

    The exit polls are surveys which are conducted by major media houses and independent agencies immediately after voting ends.

    The most notable agencies conducting exit poll surveys are:

  • Axis My India
  • CVoter
  • IPSOS
  • Jan Ki Baat
  • Today’s Chanakya

    • Nov 11, 2025 05:23 PM IST
    Bihar Exit Polls LIVE Updates: When will the results be declared

    The counting of votes for Bihar Assembly election 2025 will take place on November 14 and the results are expected to be announced on the same day.

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