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This is an archive article published on September 11, 2009

Tension between fiscal,monetary policies: Warns Subbarao

RBI Governor D Subbarao on Thursday cautioned it would be that much more difficult for central banks to maintain price stability...

RBI Governor D Subbarao on Thursday cautioned it would be that much more difficult for central banks to maintain price stability if governments continue to incur large fiscal deficits. “In India too,we are confronting the dilemma of managing the tension between fiscal and monetary policies,” he said. However,he said there was no question of slowing down on financial sector reforms but stated the road map was under review.

“These tensions between fiscal and monetary policies could potentially militate against financial stability,” Subbarao said. While the current crisis has shown that price stability is not sufficient to ensure financial stability,price stability is a necessary condition for financial stability. Higher inflation could also push the yield curve upwards. This could result in significant mark to market losses for fixed income instruments with potentially adverse implications for banks’ profitability. This again could impair financial stability,he said at a Ficci-IBA conference.

On financial reforms,he said,“We will not slow down on reforms,but will surely rework the road map to reflect the lessons of the crisis. Preserving and strengthening financial stability is a complex challenge. We need to take measured and timely action,and make a balanced judgement — not to be too benign,but also not go over board with excessive or premature tightening.” “There is a concern in some quarters that the crisis may have dented our enthusiasm for financial sector reforms. I believe that concern is misplaced,” he said.

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Unnerved by the scale and sweep of the crisis,governments and central banks around the world responded with an unprecedented show of policy force. Central banks cut policy interest rates and have resorted to injecting massive liquidity in the system through a slew of measures variously called quantitative and credit easing.

Governments stepped in with fiscal stimulus packages raising fiscal deficits to levels not seen before in peace time. According to Subbarao,even as governments and central banks cooperated,the familiar tensions between fiscal and monetary policy have started playing up. It is widely hoped though that once the crisis is behind us,these tensions will melt away and monetary policy will once again be conducted independent of fiscal compulsions. “On he other hand,there are apprehensions that this may not happen soon because of the expected protracted recovery and also because of structural factors that may keep fiscal deficits at elevated levels into the medium term,” the RBI governor said.

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