
US Defence Secretary Donald Rumsfeld recently announced the possibility of placing US ground sensors on the LoC to check infiltration into this country. While Rumsfeld8217;s suggestion could set the tone for a new US involvement in the J038;K imbroglio, questions arise on the efficacy of such a step.
The Indian response has so far been to study the proposal and it should do so in the context of earlier efforts to deploy technology for surveillance and detection of infiltration. There are sensors already deployed along the LOC for the last few years and the army and para-military forces have been able to gather evidence of infiltration using such devices in many cases. While the international community has been quite indifferent to the findings of such exercises, Pakistan has flatly refused to acknowledge them and continued to do so until US deputy secretary of state, Richard Armitage, did some tough talking with General Musharraf recently. The context in which the General made the assurance to 8216;8216;stop infiltration permanently8217;8217; should therefore be observed by the international community.
The deployment of ground sensors across the LoC has many aspects that need to be considered. First, the climatic conditions are not very conducive for the purpose. The terrain is very difficult and, at places, the line of sight is not easily found. Water logging caused by continuous rainfall could also render sensors dysfunctional. So to position such sensors and possibly receive regular signals from them would be impossible in many places. Second, there is the possibility of false alarms caused by the movements of animals. Frequency management cannot generally be fine-tuned for effective monitoring. Third, monitoring of the transmits of these sensors is another issue. It could involve the presence of foreign experts in the region 8212; something India has serious objections to. Four, the number of sensors to be deployed is also huge and runs into a few thousands if the whole of the LOC has to be covered, and if we are to benefit from this exercise, the entire stretch must indeed be covered. This could prove prohibitively expensive. Last, and most important, how successful can this effort be without Pakistan8217;s cooperation?
This brings us to another question 8212; that of dependence on technology. Today technology changes faster then we can think and already there are anti-jamming devices in place to negate the effect of surveillance equipment. The same nations which sell such equipment to one nation, could just as easily peddle jamming devices to its enemy. Also how successful will technology be in stopping suicide bombers?
In other words, technology can at best be a means, it cannot be the end. The most important need of the hour is the global recognition of Pakistan8217;s hypocrisy. General Musharraf has made Pakistan an official ally in the war against terror to garner the West8217;s largesse and protect his seat. Unofficially, his agenda remains the same 8212; of fomenting trouble in J038;K. Unless the West can see through this gameplan, no technology, however sophisticated, can succeed.