
Cynics may view the creation of the National Democratic Front by Laloo Prasad Yadav and Mulayam Singh Yadav as the last nail in the coffin of the United Front, but their wellwishers see it as the beginning of a new alignment of political forces which accepts the centrality of the Congress in any non-BJP dispensation that can replace the Vajpayee government.
However, it is their instinct for survival, rather than their commitment to the cause of the poor, that has forced the two Yadav chieftains to bury their hatchet. Till the last Lok Sabha elections, they were only too eager to see each other politically dwarfed so that the winner could usurp the entire social justice constituency of the backwards, Dalits and the Muslims in the Hindi heartland. The Rashtriya Janata Dal leader fears that the BJP-ruled Centre is not only determined to dislodge his party8217;s government in Bihar but also hound him by pursuing the fodder scam and other cases against him to their logical end. Mulayam Singh has also realised thelimits of his shrunken fiefdom in Uttar Pradesh, specially after the recent bye-elections. He fears that it would be impossible to dislodge Kalyan Singh8217;s government in UP so long as the BJP calls the shots from Delhi.
Given the Congress party8217;s wait and watch attitude and the Left8217;s dilemma, the new Front does not pose any immediate threat to the Vajpayee government. Neither does it mean any accretion to the support base of the RJD and the SP in their respective states. The situation would have been entirely different, at least in UP, if the Bahujan Samaj Party had joined the Front.
But should the ruling BJP8217;s unruly allies get more cantankerous and decide to rock Vajpayee8217;s boat one day, the new Front can provide the nucleus around which a possible non-BJP coalition could beforged in the days to come, both to install another government and to take on the BJP in the electoral arena.