Kozhikode: Left Democratic Front (LDF) workers celebrate during counting day of Kerala local body elections, in Kozhikode, Wednesday, Dec. 16, 2020. (PTI Photo)
(PTI16-12-2020_000064A)The results from the local body elections in Kerala have firmly placed the CPM-led LDF in the driving seat with wins in 514 of the 941 gram panchayats, 10 of the 14 district panchayats and 108 of the 152 block panchayats. The Congress-led UDF came second in these segments — 375 gram panchayats, 44 block panchayats and four district panchayats. The BJP-led NDA has the members to control 23 gram panchayats though it doesn’t have the numbers to hold a single block or district panchayat.
In corporations, the LDF achieved simple majority in Kozhikode, Kollam and Thiruvananthapuram and became the single largest party in Kochi. The UDF got a simple majority in Kannur and the single largest party status in Thrissur. In Both Kochi and Thrissur, both fronts will have to shore up support of rebels or Independents to get mayor and deputy mayor posts.
In municipalities, the UDF has done slightly better, winning control of 45 of the 86 municipalities followed by the LDF getting power in 35 and NDA in two.
The results are certainly a stinging setback to the UDF which was hoping to win big in the local body polls and thereby present a united and strong campaign in 2021 Assembly polls. Leader of Opposition Ramesh Chennithala admitted that the ‘public sentiment against the corruption of the LDF government’ in the backdrop of the gold smuggling case has not reflected in the results.
On the other hand, Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan said it is the victory of the people and a fitting reply to the central government agencies which are trying to “wreck the state.”
LDF’s major inroads into UDF vote-banks particularly in Thrissur, Ernakulam and Kottayam districts indicates a popular support base that goes beyond the CPM’s strict cadre votes.
As for the BJP, it has faced setbacks in contests to Thrissur and Thiruvananthapuram corporations. At the same time, it has doubled the number of gram panchayats it holds and has added a municipality to its tally.
READ: Why these results indicate a victory for CM Pinarayi Vijayan
The elections to 15,962 wards in 941 gram panchayats, 2080 wards in 152 block panchayats, 331 divisions in 14 district panchayats, 3078 wards in 86 municipalities and 414 wards in six municipal corporations were held in three phases on December 8, 10 and 14. The overall voter turnout was 76%, only marginally lower than 77.76% in 2015.
Voters at a polling booth in Malappuram. (Source: Kerala PRD)
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Final figures from the state election commission have come in. Here they are.
Gram panchayats (941)
LDF - 514
UDF - 375
NDA - 23
Others - 29
Block panchayats (152)
LDF - 108
UDF - 44
NDA - 0
Others - 0
District panchayats (14)
LDF - 10
UDF - 4
BJP - 0
Others - 0
Municipalities (86)
UDF - 45
LDF - 35
BJP - 2
Others - 4
Corporations (6)
LDF -3
UDF - 1
(Hung council in Kochi and Thrissur)
Kerala Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan took to Twitter to thank the people for reposing faith in the ruling front. "Thank you Kerala. Thank you for reposing faith in LDF. We are humbled by the trust and the confidence of the people of Kerala. This is a victory for secularism and inclusive development," he said.
Twenty20, the corporate social responsibility or CSR wing of KITEX Group that wrested Kizhakkambalam village panchayat in a surprise victory on its electoral debut in 2015, has won three more panchayats in the Kerala local body elections
The apolitical forum has won Aikkarakunnu, Kunnathunadu and Mazhuvannur village panchayats, apart from retaining power in Kizhakkambalam panchayat. Read more here
LDF leading in 514, UDF in 375, NDA in 23 grama panchayats in Kerala. In 44 block panchayats polls, LDF leading in 108, UDF in 44, says State Election Commission.
BJP national vice-president A P Abdullakutty's brother A P Sharafudeen, who contested from Narath village panchayat in Kannur managed to bag 20 votes and lost.
Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan said at a press briefing that the victory of the LDF signifies the victory of the people of Kerala.
"In traditional strongholds, Congress and the UDF has lost badly. Decades of history have been overturned in citadels of certain UDF leaders. LDF has made inroads into these areas," he said.
"LDF has strengthened. It's popular voter-base has expanded. More people have supported the LDF than ever before. That's chiefly because Kerala's mindset has allied with the protection of secularism."
The CM said the Congress-led UDF is becoming 'irrelevant' in Kerala politics with the results of these polls.
Corona Thomas shares her name with the highly-infectious virus that has now killed more than 1.5 million people around the world.
Her name caught the fancy of people during the beginning of the pandemic who mocked her and made fun of her. Subsequently, she herself tested positive for the virus while being pregnant with a child. But after 10 days at the Kollam Medical College, she, and her child, defeated the virus.
In November, she made headlines when she was nominated as the BJP candidate from the Mathili ward in Kollam Corporation.
But as results show today, Corona ended up in third position behind the LDF, UDF candidates.
If there's one thing that has united winning candidates of all parties in victory processions today, it is that none of them seem to be wearing masks. There's a lot of hugging and shaking hands with absolute disdain for Covid-19 protocols.
Is Health Minister KK Shailaja watching?
This election has demonstrated the strength and influence of the Jose K Mani-led Kerala Congress(M), especially in the central Kerala districts of Kottayam, Idukki and Pathanamthitta.
Many thought Jose took an extreme step in leaving the UDF and crossing over to the LDF. But in hindsight, it has proved to be the right one. Jose has helped the LDF win crucial divisions in district panchayats in Kottayam, Idukki and Pathanamthitta, and thus dislodging the UDF from power in those districts.
In fact, in Kottayam district panchayat, the LDF has seized control after decades.
PJ Joseph, the chief of Kerala Congress(J) who remained with the UDF, has failed considerably especially in Idukki.
If we look at the grama panchayat and block panchayat figures, the LDF has a clear lead over the UDF in both segments. The LDF's sweep across these segments has no geographical constraints.
For example, the LDF has a lead in gram panchayat seats over UDF in 10 of the 14 districts, spreading across the state.
The UDF has leads only in four districts - Ernakulam and Idukki in central Kerala and Malappuram and Wayanad in northern Kerala.
If we look at block panchayat figures, here too, the LDF has a lead over the UDF in 10 of the 14 districts.
The UDF has leads in three districts - Ernakulam, Malappuram and Wayanad. In Kasaragod, both fronts have equal number of seats.
Congress Leader of Opposition Ramesh Chennithala fended off tough questions from a reporter on how and why the Congress lost in the ward in which his house is located in Chennithala panchayat in Alappuzha.
"My ward has always been a CPM stronghold so it's not surprising that Congress lost. But we have won the Chennithala panchayat,' he told in response to a reporter.
Chennithala admitted that the allegations of corruption especially in the gold smuggling scandal hasn't reflected in the local body polls. He said the local body polls are not entirely 'political' in character and revolve around candidates, families and local issues.
State Congress president M. Ramachandran said the party's political affairs committee will meet on Thursday to discuss the results. He said the party will honestly introspect and think about any 'corrective steps' that need to be taken.
He said the Congress had done 'well' in panchayats and municipalities and that it had not suffered any dents to its vote-bank.
Always the party prone to infighting and factional troubles, the Congress, having conceded much of its space in southern and central Kerala to the CPM, rang out with the first critical comment from a party MP.
K Sudhakaran, the MP from Kannur and someone who has long aspired to be the state Congress president, said the party suffers from organisational weaknesses and that the 'jumbo committees' of the KPCC hasn't helped.
The Congress had approved 'jumbo committees' of office-bearers in KPCC in order to quell infighting.
IUML national general secretary PK Kunhalikutty said the results indicate that the party's own strongholds and citadels are safe and that the party has been able to retain the vote it got last time.
At the same time, he said the UDF will have to introspect on the losses it faced in central and southern Kerala.
The huge surge of the LDF is a major victory for Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan, who has been the lone face of the party as well as the government. Vijayan had faced a setback in the Lok Sabha elections in 2019 when the LDF bagged only one out of 20 seats. Although the local body elections are a different ball game, the results are being viewed as a referendum on his government which is headed for Assembly elections less than six months away. Read more here
Never before perhaps in the history of Kerala has a major party candidate ended up in a municipal election with zero votes.
That's exactly what happened to the official LDF candidate in the 15th ward in Koduvally municipality. While political observers may be surprised at the result, the CPM would not worry too much as it may have most likely asked its cadres to vote for a different candidate.
Initially, the CPM had nominated controversial leader Karat Faisal as its candidate in the ward. But when Faisal was interrogated in connection with the gold smuggling scandal, the party dropped him and pitched another candidate. But Faisal stood as an independent in the same ward and has now won. And the official CPM candidate has lost without getting a single vote.
The BJP's shrewd calculations to expand its footprint into unknown territories and win at the cost of allies may have worked in the Bihar Assembly polls, the Greater Hyderabad Municipal Corporation polls and the recent Bodoland Territorial Council polls in Assam.
But in Kerala, a state whose soil has proved to be infertile for the growth of BJP time and time again, the party has yet again failed to create any surge in votes that could grab headlines.
The biggest upset for the party will have to be Thiruvananthapuram Corporation where it will have to remain satisfied with a second place - 34 seats to LDF's 51 seats. Despite nominating its district president as a candidate and having a deep network of RSS cadres, the BJP has failed to cross the half-way mark.
Another upset is Thrissur Corporation where it could win only 5 wards, way behind the LDF and the UDF. It's own mayoral candidate and a popular face on TV debates, B Gopalakrishnan has lost from his ward.
At the same time, the party has more than doubled its control over gram panchayats - from around 10 to 24 this time. In addition to Palakkad municipality, which it retained, it has also gained control of Pandalam municipality in Pathanamthitta.
The BJP, by coming second in many municipalities like Thripunithura and Kodungallur, has dented the vote-shares of the LDF and UDF.
In any case, newly-elected state president K Surendran will have a lot to answer to the central leadership which has been frustrated for some time over party affairs in Kerala.
That's the state of affairs in Aikkaranadu panchayat in Ernakulam district where Twenty20, an outfit floated by garment manufacturer Kitex Group, have won all the 14 seats it contested. For the first time in the history of the panchayat, there won't be an opposition.
It was in 2015 that an outfit backed by a corporate firm jumped into election fray for the first time and won a panchayat - Kizhakkambalam. The outfit had attracted criticism for ruling the panchayat with an authoritative hand.
Setback for BJP in Thiruvananthapuram corporation as it has gone further down from its 2015 tally. While it had 34 seats last time, it is now leading in 30 seats, behind the LDF with 50 seats. UDF is in 3rd place with just 9 seats.
The saffron party had nominated its district president VV Rajesh to oversee the campaign, indicating its seriousness to win the corporation. It was also inspired by its performance in Hyderabad corporation.
But obviously, things haven't gone its way. It has managed to hold its own, but not done enough to win the corporation council.
In five hours since counting began today, Kerala's voters in rural and urban areas have given a big thumbs-up to the CPM and its allies, repeating the trust they showed in the coalition five years back.
As of leads available at 1 pm, the LDF is set to rule over 500 of the 941 panchayats, 10 of the 14 district panchayats and 110 of the 152 block panchayats in what can only be called a major sweep over the state's rural countryside. Only in the urban areas - municipalities and corporations - has the LDF had to concede a bit of space to the UDF.
These numbers will undergo minor changes, but the larger trend is very clear. It certainly appears a validation of the policies and programmes of the Pinarayi Vijayan government, especially its thrust on developing basic infrastructure at hospitals and schools, increasing social welfare pension and the government aid for elderly people and its ability to control the Covid-19 pandemic without incurring a large mortality rate.
The CPM had gone out on a limb to say that the results in the panchayat elections will be a referendum on its governance and it will be delighted it did so. It has performed exceedingly well in rural areas, making deep inroads into traditional UDF bastions like Ernakulam and Kottayam.
One of the key markers of the LDF's success has been its ability to bring in precious allies, the chief among which is the Kerala Congress (M) led by Jose K Mani. Using the influence of KC(M) among farmers and Catholic voters, the CPM has won 15 of the 22 district panchayat divisions and 9 of the 11 block divisions in Kottayam.
At the same time, the CPM has been able to hold on to its existing core vote-bank in districts like Kozhikode and Thiruvananthapuram to come to power in corporations in those districts. There has never been any doubt about the quality of the party's well-oiled machinery in Kerala, especially with youngsters of outfits like SFI and DYFI pitching into campaign. When it comes to canvassing votes among the hard-core segments, the CPM has never failed. And this election is an example of that.
These results will certainly boost the CPM as it prepares to return to power in 2021. In the last three decades, no party or coalition has been voted back to power. The CPM will be eager to break that jinx.
K Sreekumar, the outgoing mayor of the CPM in Thiruvananthapuram corporation, has lost to the BJP candidate from the Karikkakam ward. This will be a shock for the CPM as he was seen as a popular local leader.
He was not expected to be the mayor though even if he wins as the chair is reserved for women this time.
Going by the victory processions of the LDF, UDF and the BJP in various places across the state, it doesn't seem as though we are in the middle of a pandemic, especially in a state contributing one of the highest number of cases every day.
There are very few masks. No social distancing. Zero adherence to protocols.
It will be no surprise if new infections soar in the state in coming weeks.
The BJP's campaign to resist the entry of women at the Sabarimala temple in 2018 did not fetch them any dividends in the Lok Sabha polls in 2019.
But in the local body elections, the BJP has demonstrated its strength in the Pandalam municipality by winning 17 of the 33 seats, thereby snatching control of the municipality from the LDF.
Pandalam, home to the erstwhile royal family which has a connection to Sabarimala temple, had witnessed massive protests in favour of right-wing groups in 2018 with the participation of a large number of women. Now, it seems the support it garnered then has fetched the BJP votes this time.
Here's another one. The municipal ward where the CPM state headquarters 'AKG Bhawan' is located in Thiruvananthapuram, has slipped from the party.
This is going to be terrible heartburn for the party: the ward has been won by the Congress!
Also, two of the women mayoral candidates of the CPM have bitten dust in the Thiruvananthapuram Corporation. The party is however leading ahead of BJP there.
But in a stinging reversal of sorts, the party's mayoral candidate and a popular face on television debates B Gopalakrishnan has lost by over 200 votes from the Kuttankulangara seat. The even bigger shock is that this was a seat it considered safe and often referred to as the 'Gujarat of Thrissur'. Tough luck for Gopalakrishnan.
In the trends available for Thrissur, the BJP (5) is way behind the UDF (13) and LDF (16).
There were many suspicions among CPM leaders whether Jose K Mani, the chief of KC(M) who became the newest entrant into the LDF, would be able to transfer votes to them.
Trends from the Pala municipality show that he has indeed been able to do that. The LDF is leading in 12 wards and is very likely to form the next council there.
Pala is also the pocketborough the Kerala Congress (M), a regional Christian party led by late KM Mani. A victory here was a prestige battle for Jose K Mani.
A high-profile gold smuggling scandal reaching the door of the chief minister's office, one of its ministers being questioned by central agencies, the loss of face in the later-withdrawn amendments to the KP Act and the deterioration of the Covid-19 pandemic -- all of these were factors considered conducive to a grand performance of the Congress-led UDF in the local polls. They also had the confidence of sweeping 19 out of 20 seats in the general elections a year ago.
But today, things are not looking to go their way as the results to panchayat elections pour in.
As of this moment, UDF is trailing behind the LDF in grama panchayats (327 to 398), block panchayats (55 to 93), municipalities (37 to 39), district panchayats (3 to 14). Only in corporations, they are on par with LDF (3 to 3).
Their biggest upset is in Kochi corporation where the UDF mayoral candidate lost to BJP by one vote. In Thiruvananthapuram corporation, they are in third place behind LDF and BJP.
This is clearly not the performance the UDF leaders would be hoping for. If not a sweep, UDF leaders would have been satisfied with a slight edge over the LDF. But looking at these trends, they are going to fall short and concede the momentum to the LDF ahead of the Assembly elections next year.
CPM-led LDF is likely to form the next council in the Kozhikode corporation, an important urban body in the state's north, as they are way of their rivals.
Trends right now:
LDF - 26
UDF - 11
BJP - 5
OThers - 3
Kallyott is a small unremarkable ward in Periya panchayat in Kasaragod district, but it is a buzzword in Kerala's scheme of politics.
It's in this ward that two Youth Congress workers - Sharath and Kripesh Lal - were murdered last year by alleged CPM workers. The incident was a huge talking-point in the state and was used by the Congress to target what they allege as the 'retaliatory murder-politics' of the CPI(M).
Now, in this election, the Congress candidate has won the Kallyott ward.
According to 24 News, the CPM candidate in the booth where CM Pinarayi Vijayan's residence is located in Dharmadam in Kannur district has won. Not surprising.
But the twist is that it is the BJP candidate which has come second in what's considered a CPM pocketborough. Congress is third.
Also fascinating how television news channels has access to such minute, hyperlocal information.
After one hour of counting, the trends of the local body results are not showing a clear wave for any political front. But one thing is clear: the bipolar political nature of Kerala politics is likely to stay that way with BJP not being able to make much of an impact in initial leads.
Here's the tally so far:
Gram panchayats
LDF - 161
UDF - 149
NDA - 15
Block panchayats
LDF - 54
UDF - 23
BJP - 1
Corporations
LDF - 3
UDF - 3
Municipalities
LDF - 28
UDF - 45
NDA - 5
District panchayats
LDF - 7
UDF - 6
In Kochi Corporation's North Island ward, N Venugopal, seen as the mayor candidate of the Congress, has lost to the BJP candidate by -- wait for it -- ONE vote.
This is a big, big upset for the Congress as it was looking to nominate a strong leader from its 'I' group as the mayor candidate. The UDF has been ruling the Kochi Corporation for the past 10 years.
Also, this piece of news goes on to show how every vote counts.
In Palakkad municipality, the only urban body BJP gained last time, the party continues to hold a lead this time too. It is the only municipality where the party is leading right now. Palakkad, a largely rural district, has a good network of RSS workers, which gives BJP its strength.
According to leads provided by the state election commission, LDF leads by 4 wards in Varkala municipality and 1 ward in Neyyattinkara. In both bodies, the UDF and NDA have not led in any seat. These are early trends.
The most eye-watering contest in these elections is the Thiruvananthapuram Corporation and by initial leads, it certainly looks a very competitive one.
Initial leads show LDF leading in 5 wards, BJP in 3 wards and Congress in 2 wards.
But please take these results with a pinch of salt as its mostly postal votes and its very early. As the EVM votes get counted, leads are likely to strengthen and remain that way.
Right at 8 am IST, the counting of votes to the 1199 rural and urban local bodies in Kerala has begun. Postal votes, estimated to be around 3 lakh, will be counted first.
It's quite relevant to place the elections this year in the context of what happened in 2015 and the political configuration then.
In 2015, the CPM-led Left Democratic Front made a splash in the polls winning a larger number of panchayats, block panchayats and corporations than the prime challenger -- Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF). But when it came to municipalities, the UDF had a slight edge. In the 14 district panchayats, both fronts shared power of seven district panchayats each.
In terms of vote-share, the two fronts weren't separated by a lot. The LDF had 37.36% and the UDF 37.23%.
The BJP-led NDA showed its strength in key urban bodies like Trivandrum corporation and Palakkad municipality, but fared poorly in rural areas. It had 13.28%.
The state election commission, which has the responsibility of conducting panchayat elections, has fortified 244 counting centres across the state with the compliance of strict Covid-19 protocols. At the block-level counting centres, where votes to gram panchayats, block panchayats and district panchayats will be counted, a candidate of a party can depute an election agent as well as a counting agent to be present at the booth. Crowds are not going to be allowed inside the counting stations.
As always, the counting process will begin with the postal votes. As per estimates, there are about 3 lakh postal votes this time.
After the postal ballots, the special ballots -- a new addition this year -- which have been cast by Covid-19 patients and those in quarantine will be counted. These are not big in number though.
Once these ballots are counted, the polling officials will move on to the general votes cast on the EVMs. Since every ward will have voters between 1500 and 3000, the counting process will be quick. Trends are likely to be available by noon and a clear picture by 2 pm.
Hello there. I'm Vishnu and I'm here to take you through the counting day of the decisive elections to the 1199 rural and urban local bodies in Kerala.
The elections, that were conducted in three phases earlier this month, saw an impressive turnout close to 76%, bypassing the restrictions and limitations of the Covid-19 pandemic. These polls are a useful barometer of the direction of the political winds in the state as we head into Assembly elections next year.
Counting of votes begins at 8 am. Stay tuned.