While the average of exit polls correctly predicted a hung Assembly in 2013, they predicted much closer contests in 2015 and 2020, two elections in which the AAP nearly swept Delhi’s 70 Assembly seats. (Express photo by Tashi Tobgyal)Delhi Election Exit Poll Results 2025 Highlights: Pradeep Gupta’s Axis My India projected a BJP return to power in Delhi, with the party expected to secure 48% of the vote, as compared to 42%for AAP, and 7% for Congress. The data showed that a major portion of voters aged 18-25 are likely to support the BJP, while a whopping 47% of voters in the 26-35 age group are likely to back the AAP in the Delhi Elections. Today’s Chanakya also predicted a BJP sweep with approximately 50 seats and around 19 seats for AAP.
Here’s what the Exit Polls are saying this year:
| Exit Poll | BJP (likely seats) | AAP (likely seats) | Congress (likely seats) |
| Chanakya Strategies |
39-44 | 25-28 | 2-3 |
| Matrize | 35-40 | 32-37 | 0-1 |
| P-Marq | 39-44 | 21-31 | 0-1 |
| People’s Pulse | 51-60 | 10-18 | 0-1 |
| People’s Insight | 40-44 | 25-28 | 0-1 |
| Poll Diary | 42-50 | 18-25 | 0-2 |
| JVC | 39-45 | 22-31 | 0-2 |
| Axis My India | 45-55 | 15-25 | 0-1 |
| Today’s Chanakya | 51 ± 6 | 19 ± 6 |
Scuffle breaks out between AAP-BJP in Sangam Vihar: A late-night scuffle broke out between AAP and BJP workers in the Sangam Vihar area of Delhi. Both the parties claimed that their workers got injured in the scuffle, alleging an unprovoked attack. However, Delhi Police said that they have received no complaint from either side yet.
How accurate were previous exit polls? Exit polls have shown varying degrees of accuracy in Delhi’s elections since the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) emerged in 2013. In 2013, while they correctly predicted a hung Assembly, they significantly underestimated AAP’s strength. In 2015 and 2020, exit polls anticipated AAP victories but failed to gauge the extent of their success, consistently underestimating their seat counts. For instance, in 2015, polls averaged 45 seats for AAP, while the actual count was 67. However, by 2020, predictions improved, with polls closely aligning with AAP’s eventual 62-seat win, indicating a gradual enhancement in polling accuracy over the years.
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