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Can Vishal Mega Mart match the fortunes of Trent and DMart?

Vishal Mega Mart’s IPO turned heads on Dalal Street, with its ₹8,000 crore offering oversubscribed 27 times and listing at a premium. Dominating Tier-2 and Tier-3 cities, the 23-year-old company is competing with giants like DMart and Trent. While growth is impressive, rising competition and the need to improve profitability will test its ability to innovate and stay ahead.

vishal mega mart stock market debutVishal Mega Mart has established itself as a key player in India’s retail landscape. However, its ability to innovate and adapt will determine its long-term success. (Credit: Abhishek Mitra)

Vishal Mega Mart’s stock market debut was nothing short of spectacular. Its much-anticipated ₹8,000 crore Initial Public Offering (IPO) in December was oversubscribed by 27 times, as both retail and institutional investors rushed to grab a slice of the value retailer. The result? A stellar listing at a significant premium, firmly establishing Vishal Mega Mart as a rising star in India’s competitive retail landscape.

But what exactly has propelled this 23-year-old company to the forefront of Dalal Street’s imagination? After all, Vishal Mega Mart operates in a space dominated by heavyweights like DMart and Trent. What sets this value retailer apart? And perhaps more importantly, can it sustain its momentum and truly go head-to-head with these well-established giants?

To answer these questions, let’s delve into Vishal Mega Mart’s journey, its growth strategy, and its prospects in the ever-evolving Indian retail sector.

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Building an empire in the heartland

Vishal Mega Mart’s success is deeply rooted in its ability to cater to India’s heartland. Unlike urban-focused players like DMart and Trent, Vishal operates nearly 70% of its stores in Tier-2 and Tier-3 cities. These smaller cities and towns, often overlooked by larger players, have become Vishal’s stronghold. By focusing on budget-conscious consumers in these regions, the company has carved out a niche that resonates with millions of middle-class Indians.

In FY24, Vishal reported sales of ₹8,900 crore. While this figure is impressive, it’s still a fraction of DMart’s ₹45,000 crore and even trails Trent’s ₹12,000 crore. However, Vishal’s growth trajectory and unique positioning have caught the market’s attention. Its approach combines the efficiency of scale-driven players like DMart with the localised strategies of regional competitors such as V-Mart and V2 Retail. This hybrid model has enabled Vishal to thrive in an intensely competitive market.

The secret sauce: a curated product mix

What truly sets Vishal Mega Mart apart is its carefully curated product mix. Apparel takes centre stage, contributing 50% of its sales. General merchandise and FMCG products each account for 25%. This strategic layout ensures that high-margin categories like apparel are prominently displayed, while low-margin essentials like groceries are tucked away. This not only boosts profitability but also enhances the overall shopping experience.

Another critical factor in Vishal’s success is its reliance on private labels. Over 70% of its products are sourced directly from manufacturers, allowing the company to maintain tight control over costs and margins. Apparel items are sourced from partners like Rishab Oswal, while consumables come from manufacturers such as Bikanervala Foods. This strategy has proven to be a game-changer in a market where every percentage point in margin matters.

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In FY24, Vishal achieved sales of ₹8,100 per square foot, outperforming value-focused rivals like V-Mart, which reported ₹7,000 per square foot. While it still lags behind DMart (₹32,000) and Trent (₹16,000), Vishal’s efficiency and growth in smaller cities are noteworthy.

Challenges on the horizon

Despite its impressive growth, Vishal Mega Mart faces significant challenges. Giants like Zudio and Reliance’s Yousta are aggressively expanding into smaller towns, targeting the same budget-conscious consumers. To stay competitive, Vishal has begun diversifying its product offerings, venturing into categories like home furnishings, staples, and appliances.

Profitability remains another area of concern. In FY24, Vishal’s EBITDA margin stood at 12-14%, trailing Trent’s 18%. Although Vishal’s market capitalization of ₹35,000 crore is impressive, it’s dwarfed by Trent and DMart, whose valuations are six to seven times higher. Vishal’s ability to improve margins while maintaining its value-driven proposition will be critical as it navigates an increasingly competitive market.

The IPO: A windfall for investors

Vishal Mega Mart’s IPO wasn’t just a milestone for the company; it was a payday for its private equity backers. Kedaara Capital, which acquired Vishal in 2018, reaped a 7X return on its investment. This follows Kedaara’s successful exit from Manyavar, where it earned a 5X return in five years.

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Interestingly, Vishal didn’t raise any fresh funds through the IPO. Instead, it was a 100% offer for sale, allowing existing investors to cash out. This move underscores Vishal’s strong cash flow position, as the company has been free cash flow positive for the past two years.

The bigger picture: India’s retail boom

India’s retail market, valued at ₹68-72 trillion in 2023, is projected to grow at a 9% CAGR over the next five years. Analysts believe the fragmented value retail segment, currently dominated by eight to ten players, will consolidate to just four or five major players. Vishal Mega Mart’s ability to navigate this evolving landscape will depend on its focus on efficiency, regional dominance, and an evolving product mix.

While Vishal may not yet match DMart’s scale or Trent’s profitability, its strategic focus on Tier-2 and Tier-3 cities, coupled with its reliance on high-margin private labels, positions it well for the future.

Comparing the big three: DMart vs Trent vs Vishal Mega Mart

In terms of size, DMart remains the undisputed leader. Avenue Supermarts’ sales for FY24 stood at ₹50,788 crore, overshadowing Vishal Mega Mart’s ₹8,911 crore and Trent’s ₹12,375 crore. However, profitability tells a more nuanced story.

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Vishal’s profit margin of 5.78% in FY24 slightly edged out DMart’s 5.5%, while Trent delivered an impressive margin of 9.53%, thanks to its focus on high-margin apparel sales. Vishal’s ability to outperform DMart in this metric, albeit marginally, highlights its potential in optimising profitability.

vishal mega mart stock market fortunes Comparing the big three: DMart vs Trent vs Vishal Mega Mart

Differentiated growth strategies

All three companies are pursuing aggressive growth but through different strategies. DMart focuses on fewer, larger stores in urban centres, with an average store size of 41,910 square feet. Vishal, in contrast, operates smaller stores averaging 17,812 square feet, with a significant presence in smaller cities. Trent, meanwhile, has carved a niche in urban markets with its Westside and Zudio brands, which prioritise high-margin apparel.

As of March 31, 2024, Vishal Mega Mart operated 645 stores, compared to DMart’s 377. While Vishal’s store count is impressive, its smaller average store size and focus on Tier-2 and Tier-3 cities set it apart from its competitors.

The profitability puzzle

Profitability is a key differentiator among the three players. Vishal derives 72.5% of its sales from general merchandise and apparel, which are high-margin categories, contributing to its operating profit margin of 14%. DMart, on the other hand, relies heavily on groceries and FMCG items, operating at a lower margin of 8%. Trent’s focus on high-margin apparel gives it an edge, with a gross margin exceeding 50% and a net profit margin of 9.53% in FY24.

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vishal mega mart peers How Vishal Mega Mart stacks up against its peers

Private labels also play a critical role in profitability. Vishal generates 71.8% of its sales from private-label products, while DMart is gradually increasing its private-label offerings to boost margins. Trent, through its Westside and Zudio brands, has already established a strong private-label presence, significantly contributing to its profitability.

Valuation dynamics

Valuation is another area where Vishal Mega Mart’s performance raises questions. The company’s stock trades at a P/E ratio of 109, compared to Avenue Supermarts’ P/E of 97 and Trent’s P/E of 191. However, when you consider that Vishal’s revenue is just one-fifth of Avenue Supermarts’ and both companies have grown their toplines at a similar rate of 17-18% over the past year, the valuation seems ambitious. With an EPS of ₹1.02, compared to Avenue Supermarts’ ₹42, Vishal’s high valuation warrants scrutiny.

The road ahead

Vishal Mega Mart’s IPO marks a significant milestone in its journey, but it also sets the stage for its next phase of growth. The company’s focus on Tier-2 and Tier-3 cities, coupled with its reliance on private labels and high-margin categories, gives it a competitive edge. However, challenges remain, particularly in the form of rising competition and the need to improve profitability.

As India’s retail market continues to grow and consolidate, Vishal Mega Mart’s ability to innovate and adapt will determine its long-term success. Whether it can emerge as the next DMart or Trent remains to be seen, but one thing is clear: Vishal Mega Mart has firmly established itself as a key player in India’s vibrant retail landscape.

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Sonia Boolchandani is a financial content writer. She has contributed her expertise to prominent firms, including 5Paisa, Vested Finance, and Finology, where she has crafted content that simplifies complex financial concepts for diverse audiences. Her work is driven by a passion for helping readers understand and make informed decisions in the financial world, bridging the gap between industry intricacies and reader-friendly explanations.

Disclosure: The writer or its dependents do not hold assets discussed in this article.

The website managers, its employee(s), and contributors/writers/authors of articles have or may have an outstanding buy or sell position or holding in the securities, options on securities or other related investments of issuers and/or companies discussed therein. The content of the articles and the interpretation of data are solely the personal views of the contributors/ writers/authors. Investors must make their own investment decisions based on their specific objectives, resources and only after consulting such independent advisors as may be necessary.

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