The White House took a public position on Tuesday of benign aloofness to France’s vote against a Constitution for Europe and the continent’s political disarray, saying that Europe’s future was for Europe alone to decide.
Behind the scenes, however, there is considerable debate about what the vote means for the relationship between the United States and Europe. There is a feeling among European policy experts that the more significant development is the weakened positions of Prime Minister Tony Blair of Great Britain, Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder of Germany and President Jacques Chirac of France. The setbacks for these leaders, the experts say, will have far more lasting effects on the White House dealings with Europe on issues like Iran and the Middle East than the debate over European integration.
‘‘When the fog clears, you will see that, in fact, the EU remains exactly as it was,’’ says John Bruton, EU’s representative in the United States. Still, one senior administration official said that the vote was worrisome because it made Europe more unpredictable, even as some factions in the administration could see it as checking the growing powerhouse across the Atlantic. Although Bush has repeatedly spoken of his desire for a strong Europe, some administration conservatives have seen a unified and independent-minded Europe as an unwelcome counterweight to American independence.
William Kristol, editor of the conservative magazine The Weekly Standard, said: ‘‘There’s now a chance for fresh thinking in Europe, and that fresh thinking could be more open to something like Bush’s view of the world.’’ —NYT