A US Congressional report sent to the Senate four days ago has observed that the proposed sale of combat aircraft to India and Pakistan would enhance the already stark military disparity between the two countries. The internally-circulated report, a copy of which is with The Indian Express, also hints at the possibility of combat aircraft proliferation and a regional military imbalance as a consequence of selling F-16s to Islamabad and F-16s or F/A-18 Super Hornets to New Delhi.
Under the Military Implication subhead, the May 19 Congressional Research Service report (No. RS22148) notes, “The sale of F-16s to Pakistan would increase its number of modern combat aircraft but would not bring it close to parity with India.” On the other hand, “If India were to add F-16s or F/A-18s to its inventory, the disparity in aviation capabilities between the two countries would grow even more.”
Quoting Indian perceptions over Pakistan’s enhanced nuclear delivery capability with new F-16s, the report says, “The 32 F-16s that Pakistan already fields are believed to be nuclear capable, additional F-16s don’t appear to introduce new capabilities but may expand existing ones.”
The issues raised in the Congressional report cover everything from the spill-over to diplomatic relations to military implications vis-a-vis China and Russia, and touches upon the uncertainty for the US military-industry complex itself. Consider the following points raised by the report:
• The report is cautiously neutral on China, offering both points of view: “Some laud increased US-India security ties as providing potential counterbalance to Chinese influence in the region, but the emergence of an overt counterweight alliance is viewed by many as both misguided and unlikely.”
• It articulates concerns that have churned since the March 24 announcement of President Bush’s new vision for South Asia — that India would use the US offer as leverage to get more sophisticated equipment from its traditional military partner, Russia.
• It raises concerns over potential transfer of technology and local production of combat fighters as part of the deal.