
State government coffers maybe sitting pretty with heavy cash surpluses today, but the next few years will see a multi-fold spurt in cash outflows as market borrowings that have become an important source of gross deficit financing for states in the last few years, come up for repayment.
From this year’s repayment obligations of Rs 6,274 crore, the figure would more than double by 2007-8 to Rs 14,544 crore. By 2010-11, the obligations would triple to Rs 18,859 crore and nearly six times by 2014-15, when borrowings worth Rs 36,374 crore mature.
The repayment schedule of market loans has a bearing on the future volume of gross borrowings.
The repayment profile of state governments’ market borrowings raise concerns at a time when the Twelfth Finance Commission has recommended phasing out Plan loans from the Centre to states. Once Plan loans are phased out, states would have to resort to much greater borrowings from the market.
But by resorting to higher market borrowings, the state governments would be exposed to market discipline. Moreover, the quantum of future market borrowings by the states has to be consistent with the Gross Fiscal Deficit targets envisaged in their Fiscal Responsibility Legislations and would depend on their other sources of borrowings in the Consolidated Fund and the Public Account.
In 2003-4 and 2004-5, the open market borrowing programme of state governments had received a lukewarm response from investors.


