SINGAPORE, Nov 18: Asia is bracing for the impact of oil prices at nine-year highs amid fears they could go even higher. The January contract traded at $25.09 per barrel, surpassing the peak of $25.06 seen during 1996 and the highest level since prices traded at more than $40 during the Gulf War. It closed in London at $24.92 per barrel.
Key global producers Saudi Arabia, Venezuela and Mexico said on Wednesday they had no intention of relaxing a production-cutting pact during the key demand period of the next four months. The pact has cut output by almost five million barrels per day (bpd). Analysts believe prices could trend higher even after international benchmark Brent soared on Wednesday to its highest level since the Gulf War.
Asia consumes around 19 million bpd of crude but needs to import around 12 million bpd, making it vulnerable to oil price rises. That means a rise in crude prices is a negative for the economy, although producers like Indonesia, Malaysia, Vietnam and Australia stand tobenefit.
Indian petroleum minister Ram Naik said on Wednesday he expected India’s import bill for oil to balloon out to Rs 54,000 crore ($12.4 billion) in the year to the end of March, compared with an import bill of Rs 24,000 crore in the previous year.
India, which consumes about 1.8 million barrels per day (bpd) of crude, most of which is imported, was also considering raising the domestic diesel price again, the minister said. A decision would be made by the end of November.
In October, India raised domestic diesel prices 40 per cent, sparking a nationwide strike among transport workers. Japan, which represents a quarter of Asia’s oil consumption, said on Thursday the surge in crude oil prices would have an adverse impact on the nation’s industry.
"We are basically concerned over the situation. If crude oil prices continue their giddy climb, that would not be desirable," an official of the ministry of International Trade and Industry said.