Microsoft Corp.’s decision to return $75 billion to shareholders marks a shift in strategy, making it more likely that the world’s largest software maker will pull out of money-losing projects and focus more closely on its core business, analysts said on Wednesday.
By returning so much of its cash holdings, Microsoft will be forced to become more focused in how it funds existing ventures and any new businesses it might seek out, analysts said. ‘‘It’s a sign of more discipline to come,” said Brendan Barnicle, analyst at Pacific Crest Securities. ‘‘Microsoft is done, for the most part, with experimenting with businesses outside of the software industry.” That marks a sea change from the 1990s when Microsoft poured billions into costly cable and telecoms businesses in the hope of making networking an integral part of its software business.
The moves ultimately resulted in costly write-offs of nearly $10 billion. Microsoft is still pouring cash into money-losing ventures, in areas such as software for cell phones, television set-top boxes and its Xbox video game console. The company’s MSN Internet division recently began to make money after costing the company billions over the past decade. But in a sign of its emerging, more disciplined approach under chief executive Steve Ballmer, Microsoft started breaking out its quarterly results for its seven main divisions nearly two years ago, making it easier to track the profitability of each business.
Some analysts said that the payout reflects a more mature company preparing to settle in for a period of modest, predictable, growth, but others disagreed. ‘‘We vehemently disagree with the bears’ argument that this distribution plan reflects an admission of the maturation and end of growth,” said Charles Di Bona, analyst at Sanford C. Bernstein & Co.
Microsoft needs to keep investing in newer businesses to try and capture future growth, said Matt Rosoff, analyst at Directions on Microsoft, an independent research company that focuses on Microsoft. The research company is based in Kirkland, Washington.
A Microsoft spokeswoman on Wednesday declined to comment on whether the payout reflected a shift in the company’s investment and growth strategy. Despite the massive payout — consisting of a $30 billion share buyback plan, doubling of the dividend that will cost $14 billion, and a one-time special dividend that amounts to $32 billion — analysts say that Microsoft will still have at least $25 billion, enough cash for new acquisitions. For now, analysts said, Microsoft seems focused on buying smaller software businesses for their technology or talent, as in last week’s acquisition of search provider Lookout Inc. by Microsoft’s MSN division.