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This is an archive article published on January 5, 2007

Is The Policy Coming

The hope as we enter 2007 is that we will walk the talk in agriculture. The debacle has been talked about for too long.

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The hope as we enter 2007 is that we will walk the talk in agriculture. The debacle has been talked about for too long. It is not that the country is short of resources to make progress or lacks the knowledge to get going. It is just that realistic solutions are not being put in place. It is interesting that makers of macro-economic policy, where the real solution lies, diagnose the problem well and our critiques are now standard stuff in official documents and have also been dutifully regurgitated in the Silly Seminar Season. The interesting addition now is that the argument that policies are needed at the crop, season and agro-climatic level are a part of the mantras.

Successful agro-climatic policy making, however, is not a matter of verbiage. As far as the larger policy backup is concerned, the National Commission on Farmers has been successful in creating the consciousness that technology support will be necessary and this is repeated in a pro forma manner by everybody. But this is where policies stop. There is a reason for this. Technology lectures of a general kind don’t cost in resource allocation or economic and financial policies. You can, in the name of fighting inflation, import wheat, edible oil and cotton, at prices below domestic prices and sell them at subsidised rates, in commodities where you have public distribution. You can import fertiliser at prices higher than the weighted average price you give to domestic producers, sit on their expansion and modernisation proposals and very sagely give lectures on the need for technological backup for diversification at the agro-climatic level.

Technology in a sense is there. Seeds for cotton, oilseeds, hybrid wheat and the HYV paddies are available. You can always improve and you must always support it but if the economic incentives and the bazaar is not there, technology will remain on the shelf. The National Commission is brief but emphatic on the fact that if the economic climate and the technological choices are not available in an integrated manner, both will hang separately. It becomes difficult for a certain kind of policymaker to accept this strategic proposition, since to him there should not be any sectoral priorities in macro or financial policies. Reform means acceptance of international market prices as indicators of efficiency, even when they emerge from severe distortions abroad. You can read the nuances of a Stiglitz or an Amartya Sen but changing tariff rates and priorities in credit flows is another matter.

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Interestingly, the National Commission of Farmers’ last two reports are in a techno-economic mould. Small farmers should not be subjected to experiments in the area of crop diversification without first linking the farmers with the market for the new commodities, they say, and again, while import of wheat, pulses, sugar, and oilseeds may have been necessary during 2006 to prevent an undue rise in prices, we should avoid the danger of making this a habit. To them, the first important requisite is opportunity for assured and remunerative marketing for dryland farm products like pulses, oilseeds, millets, vegetables, fruits, milk and meat.

The Commission, quoting our Millennium study, laments that agriculture profitability has fallen by 14.2 per cent during 1990-91 and 2000-2001. There has been a deceleration in input use, mainly because of inadequate expansion of public infrastructure and less favourable input prices in the 90s. The deceleration in input use after 1996-97 to them is a cardinal sin and policy can remedy matters almost immediately. It wouldn’t do to procrastinate.

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