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This is an archive article published on December 4, 2008

Inflation falls to 8.40 pct, at 7-month low

The annual inflation rose 8.40 pct in 12 months to November 22, below previous week's 8.84 pct.

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Inflation fell to its lowest in nearly seven months to 8.40 per cent, giving RBI enough room for deeper rate cuts to propel the economy — expectations of which fostered a strong rally in the equities market on Thursday.

The rate, measured by wholesale prices, eased for the fourth straight week and was lower by 0.44 percentage points in the seven-day period ending November 22 from the previous week.

However, inflation for food articles grew by 10.43 per cent from 9.93 per cent a week ago. Items like coffee, sea fish, masur, rice, eggs, arhar, fruits, vegetables and gram cost more in the week under review.

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A sharp fall in global crude prices, which had touched a high of USD 147 a barrel in July and is now ruling near USD 45, and duty cuts on ATF (jet fuel) led to a huge decline in prices of industrial fuels in India.

The drop in inflation numbers will make it easier for RBI to cut key short-term rates – possibly this weekend when the government is expected to unveil a stimulus package for the housing, auto and export sectors.

The stock market rallied on these expectations and advanced by 482 points to close above the 9,200-points mark.

Crisil Principal Economist D K Joshi said, “Inflation has fallen sharply than our expectations, led by fuel group and manufactured goods prices. This gives RBI more leeway for interest rate cut and I expect agrressive reduction in both repo and reverse repo rate soon.”

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