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This is an archive article published on June 29, 2004

GDP seen up 9 pc through Jan-March

Indian economy is forecast to expand 9 pc in the year through the January-March quarter, aided by strong farm and service sector growth. Ana...

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Indian economy is forecast to expand 9 pc in the year through the January-March quarter, aided by strong farm and service sector growth.

Analysts said the best monsoon in a decade boosted crops harvested in the quarter and record low interest rates fuelled expansion in financial services as consumers bought cars and homes, attracted by interest rates at three-decade lows.

The growth forecast from 10 economists surveyed for the January-March quarter ranged between 7.8 pc and 10.5 pc and produced a median forecast of 9 pc. The economy expanded 10.4 pc in the year through the October-December quarter.

The provisional figures for the January-March quarter are due to be released on Wednesday. India does not release seasonally adjusted growth data. ‘‘The growth will be driven by a good summer crop harvest. I expect the farm and services sector to push growth in this quarter,’’ said Riyaz Khan, an analyst at the CMIE. Analysts said the farm sector would log double-digit growth.

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