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This is an archive article published on June 28, 2005

Farms drag down growth target: PM

Prime Minister Manmohan Singh today scaled down the growth rate to 7-8 per cent from the projected 8.1 per cent for the Tenth Plan. Addressi...

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Prime Minister Manmohan Singh today scaled down the growth rate to 7-8 per cent from the projected 8.1 per cent for the Tenth Plan. Addressing chief ministers who were in the capital to attend the first National Development Council (NDC) meeting since the UPA government took over in May last year, the Prime Minister said: ‘‘Unfortunately, the performance of agriculture appears to have deteriorated and possibly would not exceed 1.5 per cent growth during the first three years of the Tenth Plan.’’

With poor agriculture performance weighing on his mind, the Prime Minister stressed that the cornerstone of the Tenth Plan strategy was a reversal of the declining trend to achieve 4 per cent farm growth.

For the next two years of the Plan, Singh said it was important to increase investments in the entire chain of activities related to agriculture — the supply of inputs and credit, diversification of crops, better production practices and improved post-harvest management.

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The Prime Minister wanted the chief ministers to explore the possibility of doubling farm output in 10 years for which he suggested an NDC sub-committee for concrete action.

One suggestion that Planning Commission Deputy Chairman Montek Singh Ahluwalia underlined was the need to realise ‘‘user charges’’ for water and electricity.

Given that Rs 91,000 crore was required to complete 388 ongoing major and minor irrigation projects, Rs 70,000 crore for watershed development to cover 77 million hectares of farmland and Rs 1,72,000 crore for building national highways upto 2012.

 
   

Ahluwalia also highlighted the following features of the Tenth Plan’s mid-term appraisal:

Inflation under control

External payments/forex reserves position comfortable

Private corporate sector investment turned around

Revival of industrial growth in 2004-05, with industrial sector recording 8.1 per cent growth

High saving rate, Centre’s fiscal deficit down

Favourable prospect of attracting FDI

The key areas of concern that he pointed out included:

Agricultural growth down from 3.2 per cent (1980-81 to 1995-96) to an average of below 2 per cent. Infrastructure inadequacies likely to prevent industrial growth from reaching double-digit level

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Key social sector areas like health, education, gender equality lagging behind target

Employment generation not upto expectations

Organised sector employment down in absolute terms in the past three years

Uncertainty due to high international oil prices likely to affect growth

On infrastructure development, the Prime Minister referred to two specific areas — overcoming the power shortage that is plaguing virtually all states and creating an environment for attracting both public and private investment in the sector.

For this, he said, ‘‘we should restore the health of electricity agencies in states by reducing average transmission and commercial losses by 10 percentage points in the next two years and focus on providing quality power at appropriate prices.’’

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Singh said to improve the quality of district administration for development of rural areas, it was necessary that civil servants were given minimum security of tenure as changes without notice and short tenures do not produce accountable results.

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