Just before the onset of festival buying, this may not be a very good news for marketers! After showing signs of mild recovery in June and July this year, retail sales in Indian consumer sector has actually slipped to 1.6 per cent in August 2002, compared to the same month last year.
According to a monthly industry overview done by JM Morgan Stanley, out of top 20 categories, 14 recorded negative volume growth ranging from two per cent to 15 per cent. Consumers have bought more biscuits, chocolates and shampoo while pushing their growth by 16-19 per cent growth. But retail volume sales growth in large categories like soaps, tea, detergents and toothpastes remained negative.
The coming days also do not appear to be very rosy. The survey notes that with the dominance of sluggish demand growth and intense competition, recovery in demand growth in the second half of 2002 will remain slow and gradual.
With all large categories showing degrowth, Hindustan Lever (HLL) has further slipped into negative growth of 8.3 per cent in August after registering negative growth of 5.8 per cent in July and 4.6 per cent in June. Banking on the renewed thrust on Fair & Lovely and a 50 paise reduction in sachet price, HLL recorded three-four per cent growth in skin care and shampoo segment. But, volumes decreased by 13 per cent in soap, 17 per cent in tea and 11 per cent in toothpaste.
Among all companies, Nestle India continued to be the best performer with consistent growth of six per cent in August, 7.4 per cent in July and 6.8 per cent in June. Nestle’s chocolate, noodle and milk powder recorded volume growth ranging from 12-36 per cent. However, volume growth in weaning foods, milk food and coffee showed a decline of three-four per cent.
As per the survey, Britannia Industries also treaded in the path of decline with a growth of 3.7 per cent in August in comparison to 6.5 per cent and 6.6 per cent in June and July but it still remained positive. Britannia’s flagship brand Tiger continued to be the key driver with a 13.9 per cent volume increase in August.
Other companies’ decline in growth is further sharp ranging from two per cent to 11 per cent with Tata Tea showing 11 per cent negative growth, Colgate Palmolive (-6.8 per cent), GlaxoSmithKline Consumer (-5.5 per cent) and Dabur (-1.8 per cent).