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An international forum has said that South Asia this year will receive above-normal rainfall during the northeast monsoon season—a prediction that is in line with a forecast issued by the India Meteorological Department for southeast India earlier this month.
During the ongoing winter monsoon season, the southeast peninsular India is expected to receive 112 per cent of the long-period average.
In its 29th meeting held recently, the South Asian Climate Outlook Forum (SASCOF) said that all regions of India, except Jammu and Kashmir, Punjab, Rajasthan, north Sikkim and southern Tamil Nadu along with Pakistan, Afghanistan and the Maldives, will experience normal or above-normal rainfall till December.
The consensus outlook was prepared by experts from nine South Asian countries after factoring in global climate indicators like La Nina, which the forum expected to develop in the last quarter of this year. The forum’s members also said that neutral Indian Ocean Dipole conditions, a climate phenomenon characterised by variations in sea surface temperatures, could continue to prevail.
Over the regions where scanty rainfall is predicted, the temperatures are expected to remain above normal. These include Afghanistan, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, the Maldives, eastern regions of Uttar Pradesh, Sikkim and Arunachal Pradesh.
SASCOF-29 was a gathering of experts from hydro-meteorological divisions, national forecasting agencies, and the World Meteorological Organization, among others.
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