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Delhi Exit Poll Results 2025 Highlights: Axis My India, Chanakya project BJP victory in the national capital

Delhi Election Exit Poll Results 2025 Highlights: The exit polls predicted a clear majority for BJP in Delhi, expected to get nearly 50 seats, and an ouster of AAP from the capital.

While the average of exit polls correctly predicted a hung Assembly in 2013, they predicted much closer contests in 2015 and 2020, two elections in which the AAP nearly swept Delhi’s 70 Assembly seats.While the average of exit polls correctly predicted a hung Assembly in 2013, they predicted much closer contests in 2015 and 2020, two elections in which the AAP nearly swept Delhi’s 70 Assembly seats. (Express photo by Tashi Tobgyal)

Delhi Election Exit Poll Results 2025 Highlights: Pradeep Gupta’s Axis My India projected a BJP return to power in Delhi, with the party expected to secure 48% of the vote, as compared to 42%for AAP, and 7% for Congress. The data showed that a major portion of voters aged 18-25 are likely to support the BJP, while a whopping 47% of voters in the 26-35 age group are likely to back the AAP in the Delhi Elections. Today’s Chanakya also predicted a BJP sweep with approximately 50 seats and around 19 seats for AAP. 

Here’s what the Exit Polls are saying this year:

Exit Poll BJP (likely seats) AAP (likely seats) Congress (likely seats)
Chanakya Strategies
39-44 25-28 2-3
Matrize 35-40 32-37 0-1
P-Marq 39-44 21-31 0-1
People’s Pulse 51-60 10-18 0-1
People’s Insight 40-44 25-28 0-1
Poll Diary 42-50 18-25 0-2
JVC 39-45 22-31 0-2
Axis My India 45-55 15-25 0-1
Today’s Chanakya 51 ± 6 19 ± 6

Scuffle breaks out between AAP-BJP in Sangam Vihar: A late-night scuffle broke out between AAP and BJP workers in the Sangam Vihar area of Delhi. Both the parties claimed that their workers got injured in the scuffle, alleging an unprovoked attack. However, Delhi Police said that they have received no complaint from either side yet.

How accurate were previous exit polls? Exit polls have shown varying degrees of accuracy in Delhi’s elections since the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) emerged in 2013. In 2013, while they correctly predicted a hung Assembly, they significantly underestimated AAP’s strength. In 2015 and 2020, exit polls anticipated AAP victories but failed to gauge the extent of their success, consistently underestimating their seat counts. For instance, in 2015, polls averaged 45 seats for AAP, while the actual count was 67. However, by 2020, predictions improved, with polls closely aligning with AAP’s eventual 62-seat win, indicating a gradual enhancement in polling accuracy over the years.

Live Updates
22:02 (IST) 6 Feb 2025
'Surveys by massage and spa companies': Sanjay Singh mocks exit polls predicting BJP win

Taking a dig at exit polls that have given an edge to the BJP in the Delhi Assembly polls, senior AAP leader and Rajya Sabha MP Sanjay Singh on Thursday dismissed the projections, calling them "surveys by massage and spa companies".

"What can you expect from the exit poll surveys conducted by massage and spa companies? Wait for February 8 and the AAP will form the government with a decisive majority," Singh told PTI.

He claimed that people have endorsed the AAP's governance model, including its initiatives in education, electricity, water, and healthcare.

"The results will reflect the impact of our promises, including Rs 2,100 for women and the Sanjeevani Yojana for the elderly. Exit polls in the past have been proven wrong," he added.

Exit poll results, which started coming in soon after polling concluded at 6 pm on Wednesday, have largely predicted a BJP victory over the ruling AAP, while the Congress is expected to suffer yet another setback. (PTI)

20:23 (IST) 6 Feb 2025
Delhi Election Exit Poll Results 2025 LIVE Updates: Three exit polls predict BJP victory in Delhi assembly

Three exit polls on Thursday predicted a sweep for the BJP in the Delhi assembly elections with vote share in the range of 48-49 per cent and 45-61 seats in the 70-member House.

Axis My India, which got its numbers right in the 2020 Delhi elections, has given a 48 per cent vote share for the BJP-led alliance as against 42 per cent for the ruling AAP.

In terms of seats, the Axis My India has projected the BJP winning 45-55 seats, the AAP 15-25 seats and the Congress 0-1. It also shows others winning 0-1 seats.

Today's Chanakya has projected the BJP winning a 49 per cent vote share with 45-57 seats (51 with an error margin of six), while AAP may get 13-25 seats with 41 per cent vote share. Others are projected to get 0-3 seats.

CNX has predicted a landslide for the BJP with 49-61 seats and 49.05 per cent vote share, while it said the AAP could get 10-19 seats with 41.52 per cent vote share. The Congress could open its account in the assembly after a gap of 10 years with 0-1 seats and a vote share of 5.37 per cent.

The results of the February 5 elections will be announced on Saturday.

Soon after the voting was over on Wednesday, several exit polls had predicted a victory for the BJP, while two gave an edge to the AAP. (PTI)

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19:27 (IST) 6 Feb 2025
Delhi Election Exit Poll Results 2025 LIVE Updates: Here's what Today's Chanakya predicted as overall seat share

Here’s what Today's Chanakya predicted as overall seat share

BJP: +51 ± 6 Seats

AAP: 19 ± 6 Seats

Others: 0 ± 3 Seats

19:17 (IST) 6 Feb 2025
Delhi Election Exit Poll Results 2025 LIVE Updates: Axis My India shows Arvind Kejriwal remains the preferred CM among voters

Despite predicting a BJP sweep in the Delhi Elections, Pradeep Gupta's Axis My India showed AAP's Arvind Kejriwal remains the preferred CM candidate among Delhi voters. 

Here's what CM preferences  show

18:55 (IST) 6 Feb 2025
Delhi Election Exit Poll Results 2025 LIVE Updates: Here's what Axis My India predicted as overall seat share

Here's what Axis My India predicted as overall seat share

BJP: 45 - 55 seats

AAP: 15 - 25 seats

Congress: 0 - 1 seats

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18:50 (IST) 6 Feb 2025
Delhi Election Exit Poll Results 2025 LIVE Updates: Here's what Axis My India predicted as occupation-wise vote share

Here's what Axis My India predicted as occupation-wise vote share

18:44 (IST) 6 Feb 2025
Delhi Election Exit Poll Results 2025 LIVE Updates: Here's what Axis My India predicted as age-wise vote share

The data showed that a major portion of voters aged 18-25 are likely to support the BJP, while a whopping 47% of voters in the 26-35 age group are likely to back the AAP in the Delhi Elections.

18:41 (IST) 6 Feb 2025
Delhi Election Exit Poll Results 2025 LIVE Updates: Here's what Axis My India predicted as cast-wise vote share

What Pradeep Gupta's Axis My India predicted as caste-wise vote share

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18:38 (IST) 6 Feb 2025
Delhi Election Exit Poll Results 2025 LIVE Updates: Axis My India shares objectives, methodology, and disclaimer ahead of poll predictions

Pradeep Gupta's Axis My India shared the objectives and methodology before releasing their exit poll predictions.

18:03 (IST) 6 Feb 2025
Delhi Election Exit Poll Results 2025 LIVE Updates: ‘BJP offered 7 AAP candidates Rs 15 crore’, says MP Sanjay Singh, alleges ‘Operation Lotus’ in Delhi

Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) Rajya Sabha MP Sanjay Singh on Thursday alleged that the BJP had embarked on ‘Operation Lotus’ in Delhi and was bribing AAP leaders to jump ship so that it could form the incoming government in the national capital.

The BJP is yet to react to Singh’s allegations.

Singh told a press conference that the BJP had “already conceded defeat” a day after polling for the 2025 Delhi Assembly elections concluded with a majority of exit polls giving an edge to the saffron party. Read More

15:26 (IST) 6 Feb 2025
Delhi Election Exit Poll Results 2025 LIVE Updates: Over 1,090 cases of violation of MCC registered

More than 1,090 cases of alleged violations of the Model Code of Conduct (MCC) have been registered in Delhi, an official said on Thursday. The cases were lodged between January 7, when the MCC came into force, and February 5.

A total of 35,020 people have been arrested or detained under various provision of preventive action and other acts, according to a statement.

Delhi Police has recorded 1,098 cases of alleged MCC violations and confiscated 472 illegal firearms and 534 cartridges with 496 people arrested under the Arms Act, the statement said.

The police have also seized 1,14,699 litres of liquor and arrested 1,423 people, 206.712 kg of drugs worth over Rs 77.9 crore with more than 1,200 banned injections seized and arrested 179 people so far.

The law enforcement agencies have also seized Rs 11.70 crore in cash and 37.39 kg of silver, the statement added. (PTI)

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14:09 (IST) 6 Feb 2025
Delhi Election Exit Poll Results 2025 LIVE Updates: 'Kejriwal will be CM again,' says AAP

AAP leader Saurabh Bharadwaj said on Thursday, "If the BJP is happy with exit polls, they should make their government based on exit polls - they should make the CM and some ministers. These exit polls have an age of just one day - then the real results will be announced Arvind Kejriwal will be the CM and AAP will form the government."

13:35 (IST) 6 Feb 2025
Delhi Election Exit Poll Results 2025 LIVE Updates: 'Delhi belongs to BJP,' says Madhya Pradesh CM

Madhya Pradesh Chief Minister Mohan Yadav on Thursday said Delhi "belongs" to the Bharatiya Janata Party and Prime Minister Narendra Modi.

"Delhi belongs to the BJP and Prime Minister Narendra Modi as people have faith in him and his work," Yadav told reporters when asked about exit polls predicting the saffron party dislodging the ruling AAP from power in the national capital. (PTI)

13:06 (IST) 6 Feb 2025
Delhi Election Exit Poll Results 2025 LIVE Updates: 'Difficult to predict Kejriwal's behaviour,' said BJP candidate

BJP candidate from Vishwas Nagar Assembly constituency, Om Prakash Sharma, slammed Arvind Kejriwal and said, "The battle is with Arvind Kejriwal. His history is filled with shameful deeds and lies. Whether it's the 'tukde tukde' gang, speaking the language of Pakistan, or going to jail in connection with the liquor scam, it is very difficult to predict his behaviour"

He added, "The exit polls are in favour of the BJP. Along with this, as a political worker, when we go to the field, we can sense that the BJP's chief minister will be elected in Delhi."

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12:29 (IST) 6 Feb 2025
Delhi Election Exit Poll Results 2025 LIVE Updates: BJP confident over election win

Madhya Pradesh BJP chief VD Sharma said, "Not only exit polls, but the actual poll will also fetch the same results... Arvind Kejriwal brought Delhi into a state of distress... The people of Delhi have blessed PM Modi to ensure development in the capital under the leadership of the Prime Minister... Only one day is left, everyone will know the actual results..."

12:08 (IST) 6 Feb 2025
Delhi Election Exit Poll Results 2025 LIVE Updates: Congress exudes confidence ahead of results

Congress MP Pramod Tiwari on Thursday predicted exuded confidence over the results of the Delhi election 2025, saying that both AAP and BJP will lose the mandate.

"What the surveys (exit polls) are showing - we don't believe in them. We believe that Congress will do better. Congress will perform well as the mandate will be against both the parties (AAP & BJP ) as they didn't work on issues such as air pollution and Yamuna," he told ANI.

11:17 (IST) 6 Feb 2025
Delhi Election Exit Poll Results 2025 LIVE Updates: 'Whoever comes to power should work for Delhi,' says Swati Maliwal

Rajya Sabha MP Swati Maliwal, while speaking on Delhi elections outside the Parliament, said, "People of Delhi are well aware and I am fully confident that they have voted for people who can actually work for Delhi. We should wait for the exit polls, it may be right or wrong... I expect whoever comes to power to work for Delhi as it is in the worst state as of now..."

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10:58 (IST) 6 Feb 2025
Delhi Election Exit Poll Results 2025 LIVE Updates: Exit polls that predict AAP win in Delhi

While majority of the exit polls for the Delhi assembly election predicting a sweeping victory for BJP, likely to get over 40 seats, some exit polls also predicted a completely opposite outcome of the high-stakes elections.

WeePreside exit poll said AAP could win 46-52 seats, BJP 18-23 seats and Congress 0-1 seat. Mind Brink also predicted a borderline majority for AAP in the national capital.

10:38 (IST) 6 Feb 2025
Delhi Election Exit Poll Results 2025 LIVE Updates: Sandeep Dikshit expresses disappointment with exit polls

Congress' New Delhi candidate Sandeep Dikshit said, "As per the Exit Polls, the BJP may form the government, but I think they have underestimated the AAP. They have presented the AAP as very weak but don't think their condition would be so bad... I am also disappointed in the Exit polls...the Congress would have easily received 17-18% of the votes... Everything would be clear on February 8..."

10:21 (IST) 6 Feb 2025
Delhi Election Exit Poll Results 2025 LIVE Updates: Sanjay Raut expresses under-confidence in exit polls

Shiv Sena (UBT) leader Sanjay Raut said, "The final decision will be out on February 8. The Exit Polls said that MVA will win in Maharashtra and Congress will win in Haryana... We are sure that the BJP will not win in Delhi and the AAP will come to power..."

10:12 (IST) 6 Feb 2025
Delhi Election Exit Poll Results 2025 LIVE Updates: 'Results will be better than exit poll predictions,' says Manoj Tiwari

BJP MP Manoj Tiwari, after the exit poll results for Delhi election, said, "The exit polls I saw right now, I feel like our exact polls (results) are going to be better than exit polls...the reaction we saw among people, BJP is coming to power (in Delhi)...it is BJP's homecoming...I thank people of Delhi..."

10:00 (IST) 6 Feb 2025
Delhi Election Exit Poll Results 2025 LIVE Updates: Final voter turnout in Delhi assembly election

The Election Commission of India said that Delhi recorded a voter turnout of 60.42 per cent in the high-stakes assembly elections on Wednesday.

As per the ECI data, among the eleven districts, North East recorded the highest voter turnout at 66.25 per cent, while South East had the lowest at 56.16 per cent.

09:38 (IST) 6 Feb 2025
Delhi Election Exit Poll Results 2025 LIVE Updates: 'Exit polls always proven wrong for AAP,' says Priyanka Kakkar

AAP national spokesperson Priyanka Kakkar said after the Delhi election exit poll results, "Exit polls have always proven to be wrong for the AAP. We have always formed the government with a clear majority and this time will be no different... There are some exit polls which show us winning but I would like to tell everyone to wait for 8 February, Arvind Kejriwal will be forming the government with a huge majority..."

09:33 (IST) 6 Feb 2025
Delhi Election Exit Poll Results 2025 LIVE Updates: What happened in Sangam Vihar between AAP-BJP workers?

A scuffle broke out between BJP and AAP workers in the Sangam Vihar area on polling day in Delhi where both parties claimed that some of their workers were injured during the incident.

Sitting AAP MLA area of the constituency, Dinesh Mohaniya alleged an unprovoked attack from the BJP workers. While on the other side, the BJP candidate against him Chandan Kumar Choudhary alleged misbehaviour and threats from Mohaniya.

According to Delhi Police, no complaints have been received from either side so far. The facts are currently being verified to understand the cause of the dispute. Additionally, no MLC (Medico-Legal Case) has been received yet for any worker being injured.

BJP candidate Chandan Chaudhary accused AAP leader Dinesh Mohaniya of misbehaving with his wife when she was standing outside a polling station. Chaudhary further claimed that Mohaniya came to his office with 30-40 of his workers, threw stones, and attacked, resulting in injuries to seven of his workers.

On the other hand, AAP MLA Dinesh Mohaniya accused BJP workers of attacking him. He stated that when he was leaving Chandan Chaudhary's office on his bike, someone from the office threw a stick, hitting one of his workers on the head. When Mohaniya protested, BJP's 30-40 workers allegedly beat him up.

09:21 (IST) 6 Feb 2025
Delhi Election Exit Poll Results 2025 LIVE Updates: Somnath Bharti reacts to exit polls

AAP leader Somnath Bharti said, "These are managed affair. What exit polls predicted in 2020, exactly opposite happened. I believe exit polls are not trustworthy, and whichever polls say that AAP won't form govt, there is managed affair there. We should wait, because the wave that I have seen on ground, it would be no surprise that it breaks its own record this time."

08:56 (IST) 6 Feb 2025
Delhi Election Exit Poll Results 2025 LIVE Updates: Scuffle between BJP and AAP workers in Sangam Vihar

A scuffle broke out between BJP and AAP workers in the Sangam Vihar area last evening, reported ANI. Sitting AAP MLA area of the constituency, Dinesh Mohaniya alleged an unprovoked attack from the BJP workers. BJP candidate against him Chandan Kumar Choudhary alleged misbehaviour and threats from Mohaniya.

21:44 (IST) 5 Feb 2025
Delhi Election Exit Poll Results 2025 LIVE Updates: BJP candidate from Vikaspuri assembly says people of Delhi are tired of Kejriwal's promises

BJP candidate from Vikaspuri assembly constituency, Dr Pankaj Kumar says, "BJP is forming the government in Delhi. Kejriwal has ruined Delhi as there is a shortage of drinking water, and the roads are in poor condition. The public is deeply distressed. The people of Delhi are tired of Kejriwal's promises and will express their full anger."

20:03 (IST) 5 Feb 2025
Delhi Election Exit Poll Results 2025 LIVE Updates: Let's wait for the 8th of February, says Sandeep Dikshit

On exit poll, Congress candidate from the New Delhi constituency, Sandeep Dikshit, says, "...Let's wait for the 8th of February... We fought well..."

19:39 (IST) 5 Feb 2025
Delhi Election Exit Poll Results 2025 LIVE Updates: AAP believes results will defy exit poll results

Over exit polls on Delhi Assembly elections, AAP leader Sushil Gupta says," This is our fourth election, and every time exit polls did not show AAP making the govt in Delhi. Arvind Kejriwal has worked for the people of Delhi. We will see the results in favour of Aam Aadmi Party and we will form the government..."

19:31 (IST) 5 Feb 2025
Delhi Election Exit Poll Results 2025 LIVE Updates: Don't miss our live discussion on the exit polls

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