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Journalism of Courage
The Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) Centre in Shimla has stated that the intensity of torrential rains across Himachal Pradesh is beginning to decrease and is expected to stabilise by Wednesday, but people should remain cautious. Rainfall, however, is still likely to persist across the state until 27 July.
IMD senior scientist Shobhit Katiyar told The Indian Express, “The peak activity of torrential rain has started declining this afternoon, but another spell is expected in the next 24 hours. From Wednesday onwards, the intensity of the rain will not be as high as it has been over the past 24 hours, but we advise people not to lower their guard. Extreme weather events, including incessant rainfall, cannot be ruled out, especially in the context of the already forecast above-normal monsoon (approximately 109 per cent) for the state this season. In addition to the seasonal outlook, we have also predicted above-normal rainfall for July.”
“Torrential rains are also being experienced in several other states, including Jammu & Kashmir, Uttarakhand, Punjab and Haryana. The monsoon is expected to remain active till September 30,” Katiyar added.
IMD forecaster Pramod Sharma said, “The ongoing active monsoon phase is largely attributed to an upper-air cyclonic circulation persisting over west Rajasthan and adjoining Pakistan, extending up to 3.1 km above the mean sea level and tilting southwards with height. This has been a key factor behind the torrential rainfall in Himachal. Additionally, the monsoon currently extends from Jammu through Chandigarh, Sarsawa, Varanasi, Ranchi and into the northeast Bay of Bengal.”
Sharma further said, “The forecast for the coming days indicates continued rainfall activity. Light to moderate rain is likely at most places from July 21 to 23, and at many places from July 24 to 27. Isolated areas may receive heavy rain from July 23 to 27, with the possibility of very heavy downpours on July 21 and 22.”
Among the wettest locations, Kangra Aero recorded the highest rainfall of 15 cm, followed by Nagrota Surian (13 cm), Sandhole and Chuari (12 cm each), and Mandi and Ghumarwin (11 cm each). Other areas such as Jogindernagar, Nahan and Renuka also received significant precipitation, ranging between 9 and 10 cm. Even popular hill stations like Kufri and Narkanda in Shimla district recorded 8 cm and 6 cm of rainfall, respectively.
Despite the widespread showers, minimum temperatures across many stations remained 2-4°C above normal, ranging between 14°C and 26°C. The lowest minimum temperature was recorded at Kukumseri, where the mercury dipped to 14.1°C. In contrast, maximum temperatures saw a noticeable drop in several areas, although they remained slightly above or below normal, depending on the region, ranging between 21°C and 34°C. Una recorded the state’s highest maximum temperature at 34.4°C.
Thunderstorms were reported in Sundernagar, Kangra and Murari Devi, while gusty winds swept through parts of Kullu district, reaching speeds of 46 km/h in Bajaura and 39 km/h in Seobagh. There were no reports of hailstorms or snowfall.
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