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In Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz rivalry, after 16 official meetings, one incredible stat that shows why there is nothing to separate them

Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner split the four Majors this year with Spaniard winning at Roland Garros and in New York while Sinner triumphed at Rod Laver Arena and the hallowed Center Court in London.

Jannik Sinner, right, and Carlos Alcaraz hug each other after practicing on the central court of the Inalpi Arena, where the ATP Finals will begin on Sunday, in Turin on Friday. (LaPresse via AP)Jannik Sinner, right, and Carlos Alcaraz hug each other after practicing on the central court of the Inalpi Arena, where the ATP Finals will begin on Sunday, in Turin on Friday. (LaPresse via AP)

The men’s tennis season of 2025 will go down in the history books as the year when the cream definitively rose to the top. It has been evident for a while now but Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner have clearly separated themselves from the rest of the field. If there are six significant honours to win during the ATP season – Australian Open, French Open, Wimbledon, US Open, Year-end No 1, and ATP Finals title – it was divided equally between the two. They split the four Majors this year with Spaniard winning at Roland Garros and in New York while Sinner triumphed at Rod Laver Arena and the hallowed Center Court in London. And last week, Alcaraz confirmed the year-end No. 1 ranking, while Sinner got the year-end Finals title, clinching it for the second year in a row without dropping a set.

For context: the World No. 3, Alexander Zverev, has less than half the ranking points of the No. 2. The subtle ways in which they one-up each other look set to continue to define the biggest tournaments in the sport.

But one incredible stat emerged last night after Sinner triumphed in Turin. The Spaniard and Italian have now met 16 times officially on the ATP Tour (not including exhibitions and challenger events – where they first met in 2019 at the Ferroro Challenger Open). Sinner has some catching up to do in terms of match wins. He now trails 6-10. But the sense that every time they go up against each other these days, it feels like an incredibly tight contest, is proved by this stunning number.

 

Alcaraz vs Sinner: A Rivalry in Perfect Balance

3,302
Total Points Played Across 16 ATP Matches
1,651
Alcaraz Points Won
1,651
Sinner Points Won
16
Official ATP Matches
10-6
Alcaraz Leads in Match Wins
50%
Each Player's Point Win Rate
0
Point Difference After 3,302 Points
Closest Matches by Point Difference
RG 2025
1 pt
RG 2024
2 pts
IW 2024
4 pts
IW 2023
4 pts
Turin 2025
6 pts
Beijing 2023
12 pts
Beijing 2024
12 pts
Cincy 2025
13 pts
Express InfoGenIE
 

 

— Sinner and Alcaraz have now played a total of 3302 points, and it’s a dead heat: Alcaraz: 1651 points and Sinner: 1651 points.

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Breaking down their matches

The ATP Finals title clash was determined by incredibly small margins with Sinner winning 7-6 (4), 7-5 and there were just eight points separating the two, with the Italian winning 78 and Alcaraz claiming 72. In fact, 11 out of the 16 matches have been decided by a difference of 15 points or fewer. The closest were their two Roland Garros five-setters in the last two years, and on both occasions Alcaraz won while Sinner edged the total points. In 2024, during the semifinal, the difference was two points while their all-time great final this year was edged by Alcaraz but Sinner won one point more than his opponent.

 

Alcaraz vs Sinner: Razor-Thin Margins Define Rivalry

11 of 16
Matches Decided by 15 Points or Fewer
Match Distribution by Point Difference
2
≤5 Points
5
6-15 Points
4
16-20 Points
5
21+ Points
1pt
Closest Match (RG 2025)
28pts
Biggest Gap (Wimb 2022)
68.8%
Matches Within 15 Points
5
2025 Encounters
2025 Season: Tightest Contests
RG Final
1 pt
Turin Final
6 pts
Wimb Final
10 pts
Cincy Final
13 pts
Express InfoGenIE
 

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This year also saw them meet exclusively in finals of tournaments. According to Opta, Alcaraz and Sinner are the first pair to meet in the final at 3+ Grand Slam events and the ATP Finals in the same season since 1970.

“The facts are they’re a level above everyone,” Canada’s Felix Auger-Aliassime said this week, after losing to both of them over the course of the tournament in Turin. “The ranking doesn’t lie. They’re the two best players. That’s the facts. Different game styles, but both put extreme pressure on their opponent in different ways. They keep showing up and playing good, so credit to them.”

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  • Carlos Alcaraz Jannik Sinner
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