Odisha Election Exit Poll Result Highlights: Surveys predict a clean sweep for BJP with 15-18 seats, BJD at 3-7

NDTV's Polls of Polls survey also predicts that Naveen Patnaik's BJD is likely to lose its 24-year status of being the ruling party as BJP may win 15 of Odisha's 21 seats and BJD might have to settle for 3-8 seats.

Odisha concluded the final phase of polling with a 63.46 per cent voter turnout as per the latest update at 8 pm. The most polling was recorded at Cuttack at 67.96 per cent, followed by Puri at 67.30 per cent..

Jagatsinghpur at 64.69%

Mayurbhanj at 64.47%

Jajpur at 66.90%

Balasore at 63.27%

Kendrapara at 59.89%

Bhadrak at 56.68%

The opportunistic INDI Alliance failed to strike a chord with the voters. They are casteist, communal and corrupt. This alliance, aimed to protect a handful of dynasties, failed to present a futuristic vision for the nation. Through the campaign, they only enhanced their…

— Narendra Modi (@narendramodi) June 1, 2024

Pollsters have predicted a return for the BJP in the Lok Sabha elections winning over 350 seats. PM Modi thanked the 'NDA Karyakartas' for their efforts amid the searing temperatures across the country. 

Today's Chanakya predicts BJP's thumping majority, approximately 16 seats, for the Lok Sabha elections in the last phase. Biju Patnaik led BJD to secure 4 seats and Congress to secure 1 seat. 

BJD with their key candidate Chief Minister Naveen Patnaik has been the ruling party in the eastern state for the past five terms.   

As per Jan Ki Baat exit poll, the following are the number of seats these parties are likely to win-:

BJP: 15-18

BJD: 3-7

I.N.D.I.A alliance predicted to have zero seats. 

As the exit polls numbers trickle in, four pollsters are predicting a return of the Narendra Modi-led NDA government, winning over 350 seats.

India News-D-Dynamics: NDA-371; INDIA bloc: 125; Others-47

Jan Ki Baat NDA 362-392; INDIA bloc: 141-161; Others-10-20

Republic Bharat-Matrize: NDA-353-368; INDIA bloc-118-133; Others-43-48

Republic TV-P MARQ: NDA-359; INDIA bloc-154; Others-30

As the exit polls numbers trickle in, four pollsters are predicting a return of the Narendra Modi-led NDA government, winning over 350 seats.

India News-D-Dynamics: NDA-371; INDIA bloc: 125; Others-47

Jan Ki Baat NDA 362-392; INDIA bloc: 141-161; Others-10-20

Republic Bharat-Matrize: NDA-353-368; INDIA bloc-118-133; Others-43-48

Republic TV-P MARQ: NDA-359; INDIA bloc-154; Others-30

Three days from now, we will finally know how close the BJP or NDA finishes to its touted seat target of “400 paar”. In India’s electoral history, a party has crossed that number only once, when the Congress won 414 seats (of the 541 that voted) in the Lok Sabha elections that followed Indira Gandhi’s assassination.

Even in the initial years following Independence, when the Congress was the predominant party, its numbers were more modest – between 1951-52 and until 1977, the party’s highest seat tally was 371 in 1957, while it won more than 300 seats in 1951-52, 1957, 1962 and 1971. In the post-Emergency election of 1977 though, the Congress won just 154 seats. By 1980, it had recovered to 353 seats.

Among the thousands of tribal women who attended Chief Minister Naveen Patnaik’s rally at Silisuan in the Keonjhar Assembly segment on May 19 was Purnima Majhi, a native of Kankadajodi and a self-help group (SHG) member, who admitted she had little interest in the high-pitch electioneering.

What drew her to the meeting was the promise made by the ruling Biju Janata Dal (BJD) in its manifesto to give pension to women members of SHGs over the age of 60.

In 2019, Chief Minister Naveen Patnaik’s Biju Janata Dal (BJD) showed neck-and-neck with the BJP which was predicted to win 11 seats, just one more than its rival in the state that has 21 Lok Sabha seats.

Where BJP won 8 and Congress got one seat in Lok Sabha, BJD swept away 12 out of 21 seats, In the Assembly elections, BJP won 112, BJP 23 and Congress won 9 seats.

In the 2014 elections, the BJP had won a single parliamentary seat of the 21 in Odisha and 10 of the 147 assembly seats.

Lok Sabha Seats: 21

Assembly Constituencies: 14

Lok Sabha Candidates: 66

Assembly Candidates: 394

Promises

BJD would create a Rs 1,000-crore heritage development fund to preserve places of worship, heritage sites and places associated with important personalities.

BJP’s biggest counters is the SUBHADRA scheme, under which it promises to give every woman of the state a cash voucher of Rs 50,000 to be encashed over two years.

Congress has promised jobs to five lakh youth and a monthly unemployment allowance of Rs 3,000.

May 13 four Lok Sabha seats in southern and western parts—Kalahandi, Koraput, Nabarangpur and Berhampur — and 28 assembly seats under these parliamentary segments voted during the fourth phase.

In the subsequent phase on May 20, five Lok Sabha seats in western and interior pockets — Bargarh, Sundargarh, Balangir, Kandhamal and Aska — and 35 assembly constituencies voted in Odisha.

Six Lok Sabha seats each and 42 assembly seats falling under the areas voted in the sixth and seventh phases on May 25 and June 1.

INDIA bloc parties announced that they will participate in the exit poll debates this evening after the grouping's top leaders met and deliberated on the issue at Congress president Mallikarjun Kharge's residence. Previously, Congress said it had decided not to participate in any Lok Sabha exit poll debates on television channels and stated that the party does not want to indulge in speculation and slugfest for TRP, reported PTI

The INDIA alliance leaders' meeting at Congress President Shri @kharge’s residence in New Delhi today. pic.twitter.com/ykBQP4tSlI

— Congress (@INCIndia) June 1, 2024

In the final phase of the four-phase elections, Odisha recorded 62.46 per cent voter turnout as of 5 pm. The most polling was recorded at Cuttack at 67.96 per cent, followed by Puri at 67.30 per cent..

Jagatsinghpur at 64.31%

Mayurbhanj at 63.97%

Jajpur at 62.92%

Balasore at 61.94%

Kendrapara at 59.89%

Bhadrak at 56.68%

When Prime Minister Narendra Modi raised questions about the health of Odisha Chief Minister Naveen Patnaik in the last leg of the simultaneous Assembly and Lok Sabha elections in the state, it wasn’t the first time that the issue had made it to the electoral battleground.

Just ahead of the 2019 polls, Patnaik had accused his longtime friend-turned-foe Baijayant ‘Jay’ Panda of spreading “rumours” about his health in Delhi circles “for his own personal political ambitions”. 

While Panda always refuted the same, lingering suspicion regarding this was one of the factors that had led the BJD to suspend the leader, the party’s face in Delhi, in January 2018. In May that year, Panda had joined the BJP, and is its candidate from the Kendrapara Lok Sabha seat this time. Read more.

President Droupadi Murmur’s home district Mayurbhanj, a tribal-dominated region, won by the BJP in 2019 is facing challenges in maintaining its performance due to anti-incumbency, leading to the replacement of the incumbent Union Minister Bishweswar Tudu with a new candidate Naba Charan Majhi.

On the other hand, the Congress is aiming for a breakthrough in the Balasore Lok Sabha constituency in Odisha by fielding former Union minister Srikant Jena, making the contest a triangular affair against the BJP's Pratap Sarangi and the BJD's Lekhasri Samantsinghar.

PM Modi posted on X, "Today is the final phase of the 2024 Lok Sabha elections. As 57 seats across 8 states and UTs go to the polls, calling upon the voters to turnout in large numbers and vote. I hope young and women voters exercise their franchise in record numbers."

During his election campaign in Odisha, he urged the people of Odisha to attend the swearing-in ceremony of the BJP government on June 10. The BJD in response claimed that it would form the government for the sixth consecutive time and party president Naveen Patnaik would take the oath on June 9.

Taking to X, Senior BJD leader V K Pandian said, “The BJD is winning 85 assembly seats after 3rd phase polls, and with the 4th phase today, it will end up winning more than 115 seats out of a total of 147 and 15 Lok Sabha seats out of 21.” 

The bureaucrat-turned-BJD leader also said that the party will form the government in the state with more than a three-fourth majority. BJP previously claimed that it would win over 75 assembly seats and form a government in the state, besides winning above 16 Lok Sabha constituencies in Odisha.

66 candidates in Lok Sabha seats and 394 candidates in the assembly segments are contesting in the fourth and last phase of simultaneous polls in Odisha.

Key candidates include Pratap Sarangi (BJP), Manju Lata Mandal (BJD), Sarmistha Sethi (BJD), and Rajashree Mallick (BJD)

In the final phase of the four-phase elections, Odisha recorded 49.77 per cent voter turnout as of 3.00 pm. The most polling was recorded at Cuttack at 53.60 per cent, followed by Balasore at 53.02 per cent.

• Puri at 52.90%

• Jagatsinghpur at 51.17%

• Mayurbhanj at 50.72%

• Jajpur at 48.80%

• Bhadrak at 45.82%

• Kendrapara at 44.20%