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Weak winter rainfall in Jammu and Kashmir threatens summer water supply

Chief Minister Omar Abdullah has already cautioned residents of the Union Territory about the impending water shortages

A view of a partially dried-up pond inside the Achabal Mughal Garden in AnantnagA view of a partially dried-up pond inside the Achabal Mughal Garden in Anantnag. (AP Photo)
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Srinagar is facing what could be its driest February since 2020, with only 22.3 mm of rainfall recorded so far this month, well below the average of 100 mm for January to February.

The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has warned of a water crisis looming for Jammu and Kashmir, where a significant 81 per cent deficit in precipitation has been recorded — 35.4 mm between January 1 and February 21. The UT saw unusually dry weather this winter, a result of weak western disturbances. While some moderate rain and snow are forecast for the last week of February, the ongoing dry spell has raised serious concerns over water supplies in the months ahead.

Chief Minister Omar Abdullah has already cautioned residents of the Union Territory about the impending water shortages. The scarcity of winter precipitation impacts river basins and glaciers, which rely on winter snow to recharge ahead of the warmer season. The region’s fragile hydrological system depends heavily on these winter rainfalls and snowfalls to maintain river flows and supply the region’s agricultural and domestic water needs.


January saw a modest 21.4 mm of rain in Srinagar, but February has been largely dry. In contrast, Jammu recorded an even more alarming shortfall, with only 12.9 mm of rain so far this year, an 89 per cent deficit from normal levels. The current weather systems affecting the region have been too weak to bring significant precipitation.

Looking ahead, the IMD has forecast some relief in the form of moderate rain and snow over Jammu and Kashmir between February 25 and 27. However, the significant shortfall in winter precipitation already accumulated this year suggests that the region could face a difficult summer. Without sufficient winter rainfall, the risk of a water crisis looms large for the residents of Jammu and Kashmir.

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