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The National Health Profile (NHP) 2015, released by Health Minister J P Nadda on Tuesday, has reported the same grim predictions on cancer incidence in India as last year — a 20 per cent jump over the next five years, with the increase being higher in women than in men.
In fact, nine pages of the cancer data have been reproduced in toto from last year. These include findings on a 19 per cent increase in cancer among men by 2020, with mouth cancer registering the highest spike, and a 23 per cent increase among women, with gall bladder cancer showing the sharpest increase.
According to the NHP, the cancer incidence in men will rise from the current 5,22,164 to 6,22,203 in 2020. Despite the countrywide ban on gutkha, mouth cancer will register a 51 per cent jump. There will be a 48 per cent increase in prostate cancer, 31 per cent increase in liver cancer and 22 per cent increase in lung cancer.
All these findings were reported in the last NHP.
“The cancer data is collated in Bengaluru and sent to us. This year they never sent us any data… We decided to go with the existing data… However, we have asked for a clarification on the missing cancer data,” said Arvind Kumar, assistant director of the Central Bureau of Health Intelligence (CBHI) which collated the report.
Only one set of data — crude rate, age-adjusted rate, truncated rate per 100,000 population in differenct PBCRs — was different. But a senior ICMR official from Bengaluru told The Indian Express: “That is clearly an error. There has been no new data since the publication of our report in 2013.”
Meanwhile, the report showed a slight upward curve in the incidence of acute respiratory infections — 3,34,23,107 in 2013 and 3,48,14,636 in 2014 — though more people died of the problem in 2013. The incidence of chicken pox too went up marginally, with 31,600 cases and 63 deaths in 2013 and 34,447 cases and 57 deaths in 2014.
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